Ligue 2 Gameweek 21
Jan 31, 2026 1.00pm
Complexe Sportif de l'Aube N° 2 - Terrain du Bas

Troyes vs Le Mans - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Troyes

All competitions
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 1.00pm
Guingamp 0 - 0 Troyes
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Renaud Ripart

Le Mans

All competitions
Last game
Jan 26, 2026 7.45pm
Le Mans 1 - 0 Dunkerque
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Antoine Rabillard

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Troyes win with a probability of 39.36%. A win for Le Mans has a probability of 32.23% and a draw has a probability of 28.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Le Mans win is 0-1 (9.19%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.43%).

Result

Troyes 39.36%
Draw 28.42%
Le Mans 32.23%

Both Teams to Score: 

51.77%

Goals

Over 1.5 71.8% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 28.2% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 46.24% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 53.76% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 24.64% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 75.36% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 12.78% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 87.22% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Troyes 31.56%
Draw 44.28%
Le Mans 24.15%

Team To Score First

Troyes 48.68% (+0.01)
No Goal 8.36% (-0.01)
Le Mans 42.96%

Corners

Over 8 47.15%
Equal 8 11.73%
Under 8 41.12%
Over 9 36.15%
Equal 9 11.01%
Under 9 52.85%
Over 10.5 26.62%
Under 10.5 73.38%

Troyes Goals

Over 1.5 37.23%
Under 1.5 62.77%
Over 2.5 14.6% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 85.4% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 4.55% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 95.45% (-0.01)

Le Mans Goals

Over 0.5 66.54% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 33.46% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 31.9% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 68.1% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 11.2% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 88.8% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 3.2%
Under 3.5 96.8%

Score analysis

Troyes 39.35%
Draw 28.42%
Le Mans 32.23%
Troyes
1-0 @ 10.65%
2-1 @ 8.47% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.85% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.55%
3-0 @ 3.21%
3-2 @ 2.23%
Other @ 4.39% (+0.01)
Total : 39.35%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.43%
0-0 @ 8.36% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.41% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 28.42%
Le Mans
0-1 @ 9.19%
1-2 @ 7.78%
0-2 @ 5.28%
1-3 @ 2.89%
0-3 @ 2.15% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.9%
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 32.23%

Head to Head

Ligue 2
Oct 3, 2025 7.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Ligue 2 Gameweek 29
Mar 13, 2020 7.00pm
MMArena
Ligue 2 Gameweek 11
Oct 18, 2019 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stade de l'Aube (Troyes)
  • Ihsan Sacko 7' goal
  • Boubakar Kouyate 32' yellowcard
  • Yoann Touzghar 64' goal
  • Rui Pires 72' yellowcard
  • goal George Gope-Fenepej 37'
  • yellowcard Bevic Moussiti-Oko 40'
  • yellowcard Yroundu Musavu-King 58'
  • yellowcard Hamza Hafidi 66'