Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Mans win with a probability of 39.86%. A win for Rodez AF had a probability of 32.07% and a draw had a probability of 28.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Le Mans win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Rodez AF win was 1-0 (9.66%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.