Ligue 1 Gameweek 25
Lens
Mar 8, 2026 2.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Metz
  • Saud Abdulhamid 44' goal
  • Florian Thauvin 46' goal
  • Amadou Haidara 46' yellowcard
  • Amadou Haidara 52' goal
  • Florian Sotoca 63' yellowcard
  • Rayan Fofana 63' yellowcard
  • Andrija Bulatovic 73' yellowcard
  • Anthony Bermont 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jessy Deminguet 46'
  • yellowcard Gauthier Hein 54'
  • yellowcard Nathan Mbala 54'
  • yellowcard Giorgi Tsitaishvili 72'
  • yellowcard Michel Mboula 73'

Lens vs Metz - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

All competitions
Last game
Feb 27, 2026 7.45pm
Strasbourg 1 - 1 Lens
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Wesley Said

Metz

All competitions
Last game
Mar 1, 2026 4.15pm
Metz 0 - 1 Brest
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Koffi Kouao

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 65.17%. A draw had a probability of 19.38% and a win for Metz had a probability of 15.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.08%) and 1-0 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.08%) , while for a Metz win it was 1-2 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result

Lens 65.17% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 19.38% ▼ (-0.05)
Metz 15.45% ▲ (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.61%

Goals

Over 1.5 81.84% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 18.16% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 60.7% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 39.29% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 37.56% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 62.44% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 24.51% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 4.5 75.49% ▲ (+0.06)

First Half Winner

Lens 48.44%
Draw 34.92%
Metz 16.64%

Team To Score First

Lens 69.94% ▲ (+0.01)
No Goal 4.39% ▼ (-0.02)
Metz 25.67%

Corners

Over 8 58.37% ▼ (-0.04)
Equal 8 11.53% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 8 30.1% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 9 46.57% ▼ (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.8% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 9 41.63% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 10.5 35.5% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 10.5 64.5% ▲ (+0.05)

Lens Goals

Over 1.5 62.78% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 37.22% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 36.22% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 63.78% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 17.24% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 3.5 82.76% ▲ (+0.08)

Metz Goals

Over 0.5 51.12% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 0.5 48.88% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 1.5 20.69% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 79.31% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 2.5 6.15%
Under 2.5 93.85%
Over 3.5 1.54%
Under 3.5 98.46%

Score analysis

Lens 65.17%
Draw 19.38%
Metz 15.45%
Lens
2-1 @ 10.32% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 10.08% ▼ (-0.02)
1-0 @ 9.72% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 7.57% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.98% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.38% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 17.12% ▼ (-0.06)
Total : 65.17%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.08% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.74% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.39% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.12% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 19.38%
Metz
1-2 @ 4.44% ▲ (+0.02)
0-1 @ 4.05%
0-2 @ 1.98%
2-3 @ 1.42%
1-3 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.42% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 15.45%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
Metz
Oct 29, 2025 6.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Lens
Ligue 1 Gameweek 29
Metz
Apr 12, 2024 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Stade Saint-Symphorien
Lens
  • Kevin Van Den Kerkhof 20' yellowcard
  • Georges Mikautadze 34' goal
  • Ismael Traore 44' yellowcard
  • Georges Mikautadze 45'+3' goal
  • goal Florian Sotoca 13'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Gradit 44'
  • yellowcard Andy Diouf 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Deiver Machado 46'
  • yellowcard Jhoanner Chavez 74'
  • yellowcard Przemyslaw Frankowski 78'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 5
Lens
Sep 16, 2023 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Metz
  • Elye Wahi 64' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joel Asoro 33'
  • goal Joel Asoro 37'
  • yellowcard Fali Cande 64'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 28
Metz
Mar 13, 2022 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Lens
  • Farid Boulaya 15' yellowcard
  • Nicolas de Preville 19' yellowcard
  • Pape Sarr 43' yellowcard
  • Boubakar Kouyate 78' yellowcard
  • Kevin N'Doram 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Florian Sotoca 58'
  • yellowcard Kevin Danso 64'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 11
Lens
Oct 24, 2021 2.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 1
FT
Metz
  • Wesley Said 14' goal
  • Wesley Said 37' goal
  • Jean-Louis Leca 65' yellowcard
  • Ignatius Ganago 83' goal
  • Ignatius Ganago 87' yellowcard
  • Przemyslaw Frankowski 90' goal
  • yellowcard Vincent Pajot 20'
  • goal Nicolas de Preville 33'
  • yellowcard Habib Maiga 39'
  • yellowcard Kevin N'Doram 53'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 29
Lens
Mar 14, 2021 2.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT
Metz
  • Jonathan Gradit 8' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Clauss 13' goal
  • Massadio Haidara 19' yellowcard
  • Yannick Cahuzac 36' goal
  • Facundo Medina 37' yellowcard
  • Seko Fofana 86' yellowcard
  • goal Vagner Goncalves 27'
  • yellowcard Vagner Goncalves 37'
  • yellowcard John Boye 50'
  • goal Thomas Delaine 57'
  • yellowcard Pape Sarr 82'

Form Data

Lyon 2 - 2 Lens
Strasbourg 1 - 1 Lens
Lens 2 - 3 Monaco
Paris FC 0 - 5 Lens
Lens 3 - 1 Rennes
Troyes 2 - 4 Lens
Metz 0 - 1 Brest
PSG 3 - 0 Metz
Metz 1 - 3 Auxerre
Metz 0 - 0 Lille
Angers 1 - 0 Metz
Metz 2 - 5 Lyon