Ligue 1 Gameweek 25
Mar 8, 2026 2.00pm
Stade Bollaert-Delelis

Lens vs Metz - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

All competitions
Last game
Feb 27, 2026 7.45pm
Strasbourg 1 - 1 Lens
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Wesley Said

Metz

All competitions
Last game
Mar 1, 2026 4.15pm
Metz 0 - 1 Brest
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Gauthier Hein

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lens win with a probability of 65.43%. A draw has a probability of 19.35% and a win for Metz has a probability of 15.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.17%) and 1-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.08%) , while for a Metz win it is 1-2 (4.41%).

Result

Lens 65.43%
Draw 19.35% (-0.03)
Metz 15.19%

Both Teams to Score: 

54.34% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.74%
Under 1.5 18.26%
Over 2.5 60.55% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 39.45% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 37.33% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 62.67% (-0.06)
Over 4.5 24.39% (+0.07)
Under 4.5 75.61% (-0.07)

First Half Winner

Lens 48.44%
Draw 34.92%
Metz 16.64%

Team To Score First

Lens 69.91% (+0.01)
No Goal 4.43% (-0.02)
Metz 25.66%

Corners

Over 8 58.28%
Equal 8 11.49%
Under 8 30.23%
Over 9 46.53%
Equal 9 11.75%
Under 9 41.72%
Over 10.5 35.51%
Under 10.5 64.49%

Lens Goals

Over 1.5 62.87% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 37.13% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 36.3% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 63.7% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 17.31% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 82.69% (-0.04)

Metz Goals

Over 0.5 50.75% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 49.25% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 20.34%
Under 1.5 79.66%
Over 2.5 5.94%
Under 2.5 94.06%
Over 3.5 1.45%
Under 3.5 98.55%

Score analysis

Lens 65.43%
Draw 19.35%
Metz 15.19%
Lens
2-1 @ 10.33% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 10.17% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 9.77% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 7.65% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.97%
3-2 @ 3.34% (+0.01)
Other @ 17.2% (+0.04)
Total : 65.43%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.08% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.7%
0-0 @ 4.43% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.11% (-0.01)
Total : 19.35%
Metz
1-2 @ 4.41% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 4.03% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.95%
2-3 @ 1.37% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 1.34% (+0.02)
Total : 15.19%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
Oct 29, 2025 6.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Ligue 1 Gameweek 29
Apr 12, 2024 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Stade Saint-Symphorien
  • Kevin Van Den Kerkhof 20' yellowcard
  • Georges Mikautadze 34' goal
  • Ismael Traore 44' yellowcard
  • Georges Mikautadze 45'+3' goal
  • goal Florian Sotoca 13'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Gradit 44'
  • yellowcard Andy Diouf 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Deiver Machado 46'
  • yellowcard Jhoanner Chavez 74'
  • yellowcard Przemyslaw Frankowski 78'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 5
Sep 16, 2023 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Bollaert-Delelis
  • Elye Wahi 64' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joel Asoro 33'
  • goal Joel Asoro 37'
  • yellowcard Fali Cande 64'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 28
Mar 13, 2022 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Farid Boulaya 15' yellowcard
  • Nicolas de Preville 19' yellowcard
  • Pape Sarr 43' yellowcard
  • Boubakar Kouyate 78' yellowcard
  • Kevin N'Doram 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Florian Sotoca 58'
  • yellowcard Kevin Danso 64'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 11
Oct 24, 2021 2.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Wesley Said 14' goal
  • Wesley Said 37' goal
  • Jean-Louis Leca 65' yellowcard
  • Ignatius Ganago 83' goal
  • Ignatius Ganago 87' yellowcard
  • Przemyslaw Frankowski 90' goal
  • yellowcard Vincent Pajot 20'
  • goal Nicolas de Preville 33'
  • yellowcard Habib Maiga 39'
  • yellowcard Kevin N'Doram 53'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 29
Mar 14, 2021 2.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Jonathan Gradit 8' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Clauss 13' goal
  • Massadio Haidara 19' yellowcard
  • Yannick Cahuzac 36' goal
  • Facundo Medina 37' yellowcard
  • Seko Fofana 86' yellowcard
  • goal Vagner Goncalves 27'
  • yellowcard Vagner Goncalves 37'
  • yellowcard John Boye 50'
  • goal Thomas Delaine 57'
  • yellowcard Pape Sarr 82'