Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 37.12%. A win for Metz had a probability of 36.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.19%). The likeliest Metz win was 1-0 (9.46%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.