Ligue 1 Gameweek 26
Mar 15, 2026 4.15pm
Stade Saint-Symphorien

Metz vs Toulouse - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Metz

All competitions
Last game
Mar 8, 2026 2.00pm
Lens 3 - 0 Metz
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Gauthier Hein

Toulouse

All competitions
Last game
Mar 7, 2026 8.05pm
Toulouse 0 - 1 Marseille
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Santiago Hidalgo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Toulouse win with a probability of 47.44%. A win for Metz has a probability of 26.66% and a draw has a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.48%) and 0-2 (8.46%). The likeliest Metz win is 1-0 (7.89%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.1%).

Result

Metz 26.66%
Draw 25.9%
Toulouse 47.44%

Both Teams to Score: 

50.91%

Goals

Over 1.5 73.08%
Under 1.5 26.92%
Over 2.5 48.3%
Under 2.5 51.7%
Over 3.5 26.57%
Under 3.5 73.43%
Over 4.5 14.56%
Under 4.5 85.44%

First Half Winner

Metz 24.51%
Draw 42.77%
Toulouse 32.72%

Team To Score First

Metz 38.93%
No Goal 7.64%
Toulouse 53.43%

Corners

Over 8 53.58%
Equal 8 11.73%
Under 8 34.69%
Over 9 42.01%
Equal 9 11.57%
Under 9 46.42%
Over 10.5 31.53%
Under 10.5 68.47%

Metz Goals

Over 1.5 27.53%
Under 1.5 72.47%
Over 2.5 9.22%
Under 2.5 90.78%
Over 3.5 2.58%
Under 3.5 97.42%

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5 76.37%
Under 0.5 23.63%
Over 1.5 43.99%
Under 1.5 56.01%
Over 2.5 19.21%
Under 2.5 80.79%
Over 3.5 6.77%
Under 3.5 93.23%

Score analysis

Metz 26.67%
Draw 25.91%
Toulouse 47.44%
Metz
1-0 @ 7.89%
2-1 @ 6.48%
2-0 @ 4.2%
3-1 @ 2.39%
3-2 @ 1.79%
3-0 @ 1.48%
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 26.67%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.1%
0-0 @ 7.64%
2-2 @ 5.05%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.91%
Toulouse
0-1 @ 11.41%
1-2 @ 9.48%
0-2 @ 8.46%
1-3 @ 4.58%
0-3 @ 4.3%
2-3 @ 2.58%
Other @ 6.63%
Total : 47.44%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
Oct 19, 2025 4.15pm
4
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Ligue 1 Gameweek 18
Jan 14, 2024 2.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 2
FT Stade Saint-Symphorien
  • Danley Jean Jacques 18' yellowcard
  • Laszlo Boloni 19' yellowcard
  • Cheikh Sabaly 20' yellowcard
  • Kevin N'Doram 37' yellowcard
  • Christophe Herelle 72' redcard
  • goal Vincent Sierro 11'
  • goal Vincent Sierro 12'
  • yellowcard Thijs Dallinga 40'
  • yellowcard Warren Kamanzi 81'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 7
Oct 1, 2023 2.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
  • Rasmus Nicolaisen 13' yellowcard
  • Niklas Schmidt 31' goal
  • Thijs Dallinga 43' goal
  • Gabriel Suazo 63' yellowcard
  • Vincent Sierro 75' yellowcard
  • Frank Magri 82' goal
Ligue 1 Gameweek 29
Mar 14, 2020 7.00pm
Stadium de Toulouse
Ligue 1 Gameweek 8
Sep 28, 2019 7.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Saint-Symphorien (Longeville-lès-Metz)
  • Habib Diallo 4' goal
  • Thomas Delaine 11' yellowcard
  • Ibrahima Niane 91' goal
  • goal Wesley Said 86'
  • goal Efthymios Koulouris 95'
  • yellowcard Max Gradel 95'
Ligue 1
Mar 3, 2018 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Saint-Symphorien (Longeville-lès-Metz)
  • Nolan Roux 32' goal
  • Julian Palmieri 42' redcard
  • yellowcard Corentin Jean 18'
  • yellowcard Francois Moubandje 44'
  • goal Kelvin Amian 84'
  • yellowcard Ola Toivonen 87'
  • yellowcard Jimmy Durmaz 90'