Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 47.27%. A win for Metz had a probability of 26.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.47%) and 0-2 (8.41%). The likeliest Metz win was 1-0 (7.91%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%).