Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 42.68%. A win for Everton had a probability of 32.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.56%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Everton win was 2-1 (7.85%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.