FA Cup
Chelsea
Apr 26, 2026 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Wembley Stadium
Leeds
  • Enzo Fernández 23' goal
  • Andrey Santos 66' yellowcard
  • Cole Palmer 71' yellowcard
  • Liam Delap 90'+8' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joe Rodon 46'
  • yellowcard Anton Stach 46'
  • yellowcard Wilfried Gnonto 74'
  • yellowcard Lukas Nmecha 74'
  • yellowcard Sean Longstaff 86'

Chelsea vs Leeds United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea

All competitions

Leeds United

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 42.3%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.67%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 1-2 (7.83%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result

Chelsea 42.3% ▲ (+0.40)
Draw 23.9%
Leeds United 33.8% ▼ (-0.41)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.1% ▼ (-0.20)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.91% ▼ (-0.19)
Under 1.5 19.09% ▲ (+0.20)
Over 2.5 58.9% ▼ (-0.31)
Under 2.5 41.1% ▲ (+0.31)
Over 3.5 36.5% ▼ (-0.30)
Under 3.5 63.5% ▲ (+0.30)
Over 4.5 21.6% ▼ (-0.23)
Under 4.5 78.4% ▲ (+0.24)

Chelsea Goals

Over 1.5 45.96% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 1.5 54.04% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 2.5 21.43% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 2.5 78.57% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 3.5 8.13% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 91.87% ▼ (-0.04)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5 70.17% ▼ (-0.40)
Under 0.5 29.83% ▲ (+0.39)
Over 1.5 38.79% ▼ (-0.51)
Under 1.5 61.21% ▲ (+0.51)
Over 2.5 16.31% ▼ (-0.39)
Under 2.5 83.69% ▲ (+0.38)
Over 3.5 5.6% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 3.5 94.4% ▲ (+0.20)

Score analysis

Chelsea 42.32%
Draw 23.92%
Leeds United 33.8%
Chelsea
2-1 @ 8.9% ▲ (+0.06)
1-0 @ 7.67% ▲ (+0.13)
2-0 @ 6.23% ▲ (+0.12)
3-1 @ 4.82% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 3.45% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.38% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 7.87% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 42.32%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.92% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 6.37% ▼ (-0.04)
0-0 @ 4.72% ▲ (+0.07)
3-3 @ 1.65% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.26% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 23.92%
Leeds United
1-2 @ 7.83% ▼ (-0.06)
0-1 @ 6.74% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 4.83% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 3.73% ▼ (-0.07)
2-3 @ 3.03% ▼ (-0.06)
0-3 @ 2.3% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 5.34% ▼ (-0.18)
Total : 33.8%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 26
Chelsea
Feb 10, 2026 7.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Stamford Bridge
Leeds
  • João Pedro 24' goal
  • Jorrel Hato 46' yellowcard
  • Cole Palmer 58' yellowcard
  • Pedro Neto 64' yellowcard
  • Wesley Fofana 79' yellowcard
  • Liam Delap 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Noah Okafor 55'
  • yellowcard Lukas Nmecha 67'
  • goal Noah Okafor 73'
  • yellowcard Daniel James 82'
  • yellowcard Sean Longstaff 90'+5'
Premier League
Leeds
Dec 3, 2025 8.15pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT
Chelsea
  • Jaka Bijol 6' goal
  • Anton Stach 35' yellowcard
  • Ao Tanaka 43' goal
  • Dominic Calvert-Lewin 72' goal
  • yellowcard Estevao Willian 39'
  • goal Pedro Neto 50'
FA Cup
Chelsea
Feb 28, 2024 7.30pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT Stamford Bridge
Leeds
  • Nicolas Jackson 15' goal
  • Mykhaylo Mudryk 37' goal
  • Trevoh Chalobah 40' yellowcard
  • Enzo Fernandez 41' yellowcard
  • Moises Caicedo 49' yellowcard
  • Conor Gallagher 90' goal
  • goal Mateo Fernandez 8'
  • goal Mateo Fernandez 59'
  • yellowcard Junior Firpo 69'
Premier League Gameweek 26
Chelsea
Mar 4, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Leeds
  • Wesley Fofana 53' goal
Premier League Gameweek 3
Leeds
Aug 21, 2022 2.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
Chelsea
  • Brenden Aaronson 33' goal
  • Rodrigo 37' goal
  • Jack Harrison 69' goal
  • yellowcard Kalidou Koulibaly 9'
  • yellowcard Raheem Sterling 36'
  • redcard Kalidou Koulibaly 84'
Premier League Gameweek 33
Leeds
May 11, 2022 7.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
Chelsea
  • Daniel James 24' redcard
  • Kalvin Phillips 43' yellowcard
  • goal Mason Mount 4'
  • goal Christian Pulisic 55'
  • goal Romelu Lukaku 83'

Form Data

Brighton 3 - 0 Chelsea
Chelsea 0 - 1 Man Utd
Chelsea 0 - 3 Man City
Chelsea 7 - 0 Port Vale
Everton 3 - 0 Chelsea
Chelsea 0 - 3 PSG
Bournemouth 2 - 2 Leeds
Leeds 3 - 0 Wolves
Man Utd 1 - 2 Leeds
West Ham 2 - 2 Leeds
Leeds 0 - 0 Brentford
Crystal Palace 0 - 0 Leeds

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