Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 46.96%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 28.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 1-2 (7.32%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.