Europa League
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Chris Wood
71'
-
Zach Abbott
75'
-
Ryan Yates
90'
-
Lamare Bogarde
55'
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Douglas Luiz
78'
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Douglas Luiz
79'
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Ian Maatsen
79'
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Jadon Sancho
79'
Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Result
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Team News
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Match Preview
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Predicted Lineups
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 41.33%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 34.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 0-1 (7.92%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
Result
Nottingham Forest
41.33%
Draw
24.59%
▼
(-0.04)
Aston Villa
34.05%
Both Teams to Score:
55.97%
▲
(+0.04)
Goals
Over 1.5
76.9%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 1.5
23.1%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 2.5
53.68%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 2.5
46.32%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 3.5
31.47%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 3.5
68.53%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 4.5
18.24%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 4.5
81.76%
▼
(-0.05)
First Half Winner
Nottingham Forest
32.51%
Draw
43.03%
Aston Villa
24.46%
Team To Score First
Nottingham Forest
53.01%
▲
(+0.01)
No Goal
6.09%
▼
(-0.01)
Aston Villa
40.9%
Corners
Over 8
51.15%
Equal 8
12.03%
Under 8
36.82%
Over 9
39.52%
Equal 9
11.63%
Under 9
48.85%
Over 10.5
29.18%
Under 10.5
70.82%
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 1.5
41.77%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 1.5
58.23%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 2.5
18.4%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 2.5
81.6%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 3.5
6.46%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 3.5
93.54%
▼
(-0.02)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5
68.44%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
31.56%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 1.5
36.15%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 1.5
63.85%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 2.5
14.62%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 2.5
85.38%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 3.5
5.14%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 3.5
94.86%
▼
(-0.02)
Score analysis
Nottingham Forest
41.33%
Draw
24.59%
Aston Villa
34.06%
Nottingham Forest
1-0
@
9.07%
▼
(-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.67% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.57% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.2% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.48% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.01% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 6.33% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 41.33%
2-1 @ 8.67% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.57% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.2% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.48% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.01% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 6.33% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 41.33%
Draw
1-1
@
11.5%
▼
(-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.09% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.62%
3-3 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.59%
0-0 @ 6.09% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.62%
3-3 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.59%
Aston Villa
0-1
@
7.92%
▼
(-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.75% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.15%
1-3 @ 3.41% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.51% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.31%
Other @ 5.01% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 34.06%
1-2 @ 7.75% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.15%
1-3 @ 3.41% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.51% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.31%
Other @ 5.01% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 34.06%
Head to Head
Premier League
-
Neco Williams
38'
-
Chris Wood
65'
-
Nicolás Domínguez
84'
-
Ryan Yates
89'
-
Ola Aina
89'
-
Dan Ndoye
89'
-
Murillo
23'
(OG)
-
Douglas Luiz
77'
-
Emiliano Buendía
78'
-
Ian Maatsen
78'
-
Tammy Abraham
87'
-
Andrés García
90'+1'
Premier League
Gameweek
20
-
Ollie Watkins
45'+1'
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John McGinn
49'
-
Jadon Sancho
69'
-
Lucas Digne
69'
-
John McGinn
73'
-
Lamare Bogarde
83'
-
Donyell Malen
83'
-
Andrés García
90'
-
Morgan Gibbs-White
61'
-
James McAtee
69'
-
Nicolò Savona
69'
-
Matz Sels
78'
-
Douglas Luiz
83'
-
Arnaud Kalimuendo
83'
Premier League
Gameweek
31
-
Morgan Rogers
13'
-
Donyell Malen
15'
-
Marco Asensio
51'
-
Emiliano Martinez
86'
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Morato
49'
-
Jota Silva
57'
-
Jota Silva
73'
Premier League
Gameweek
16
-
Nikola Milenkovic
87'
-
Anthony Elanga
90'+3'
-
Jhon Duran
63'
-
Jhon Duran
70'
Premier League
Gameweek
26
-
Ollie Watkins
4'
-
Douglas Luiz
29'
-
Douglas Luiz
39'
-
Alex Moreno
57'
-
Leon Bailey
61'
-
Murillo
15'
-
Felipe
45'
-
Morgan Gibbs-White
48'
-
Moussa Niakhate
45'+5'
Premier League
Gameweek
11
-
Ola Aina
5'
-
Orel Mangala
47'
-
Danilo
88'
-
Boubacar Kamara
64'
Form Data
Build-up
How to watch
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News
News
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News
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