Europa League
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Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for Aston Villa has a probability of 34.11% and a draw has a probability of 24.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Aston Villa win is 0-1 (7.95%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.52%).
Result
Nottingham Forest
41.29%
Draw
24.63%
▲
(+0.04)
Aston Villa
34.11%
▲
(+0.04)
Both Teams to Score:
55.94%
▼
(-0.08)
Goals
Over 1.5
76.91%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 1.5
23.09%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 2.5
53.64%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 2.5
46.36%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 3.5
31.43%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 3.5
68.57%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 4.5
18.19%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 4.5
81.81%
▲
(+0.08)
First Half Winner
Nottingham Forest
32.51%
▲
(+0.04)
Draw
43.03%
▼
(-0.02)
Aston Villa
24.46%
Team To Score First
Nottingham Forest
53%
▼
(-0.03)
No Goal
6.11%
▲
(+0.05)
Aston Villa
40.89%
▼
(-0.02)
Corners
Over 8
51.15%
▲
(+0.01)
Equal 8
12.03%
Under 8
36.82%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 9
39.52%
▲
(+0.02)
Equal 9
11.63%
Under 9
48.85%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 10.5
29.18%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 10.5
70.82%
▼
(-0.02)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 1.5
41.72%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 1.5
58.28%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 2.5
18.36%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 2.5
81.64%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 3.5
6.44%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 3.5
93.56%
▲
(+0.02)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5
68.5%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 0.5
31.5%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 1.5
36.17%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 1.5
63.83%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 2.5
14.6%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 2.5
85.4%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 3.5
5.13%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 3.5
94.87%
▲
(+0.03)
Score analysis
Nottingham Forest
41.29%
Draw
24.63%
Aston Villa
34.12%
Nottingham Forest
1-0
@
9.07%
▲
(+0.04)
2-1 @ 8.66% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.58% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.2%
3-0 @ 3.47% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 6.31% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 41.29%
2-1 @ 8.66% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.58% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.2%
3-0 @ 3.47% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 6.31% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 41.29%
Draw
1-1
@
11.52%
▲
(+0.02)
0-0 @ 6.11% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.62% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.63%
0-0 @ 6.11% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.62% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.63%
Aston Villa
0-1
@
7.95%
▲
(+0.05)
1-2 @ 7.77%
0-2 @ 5.18% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.41%
2-3 @ 2.5% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.31% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 5% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 34.12%
1-2 @ 7.77%
0-2 @ 5.18% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.41%
2-3 @ 2.5% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.31% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 5% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 34.12%
Head to Head
Premier League
-
Neco Williams
38'
-
Chris Wood
65'
-
Nicolás Domínguez
84'
-
Ryan Yates
89'
-
Ola Aina
89'
-
Dan Ndoye
89'
-
Murillo
23'
(OG)
-
Douglas Luiz
77'
-
Emiliano Buendía
78'
-
Ian Maatsen
78'
-
Tammy Abraham
87'
-
Andrés García
90'+1'
Premier League
Gameweek
20
-
Ollie Watkins
45'+1'
-
John McGinn
49'
-
Jadon Sancho
69'
-
Lucas Digne
69'
-
John McGinn
73'
-
Lamare Bogarde
83'
-
Donyell Malen
83'
-
Andrés García
90'
-
Morgan Gibbs-White
61'
-
James McAtee
69'
-
Nicolò Savona
69'
-
Matz Sels
78'
-
Douglas Luiz
83'
-
Arnaud Kalimuendo
83'
Premier League
Gameweek
31
-
Morgan Rogers
13'
-
Donyell Malen
15'
-
Marco Asensio
51'
-
Emiliano Martinez
86'
-
Morato
49'
-
Jota Silva
57'
-
Jota Silva
73'
Premier League
Gameweek
16
-
Nikola Milenkovic
87'
-
Anthony Elanga
90'+3'
-
Jhon Duran
63'
-
Jhon Duran
70'
Premier League
Gameweek
26
-
Ollie Watkins
4'
-
Douglas Luiz
29'
-
Douglas Luiz
39'
-
Alex Moreno
57'
-
Leon Bailey
61'
-
Murillo
15'
-
Felipe
45'
-
Morgan Gibbs-White
48'
-
Moussa Niakhate
45'+5'
Premier League
Gameweek
11
-
Ola Aina
5'
-
Orel Mangala
47'
-
Danilo
88'
-
Boubacar Kamara
64'