Europa League
Apr 16, 2026 8.00pm
Villa Park

Aston Villa vs Bologna - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Apr 9, 2026 8.00pm
Bologna 1 - 3 Aston Villa

Bologna

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Apr 9, 2026 8.00pm
Bologna 1 - 3 Aston Villa

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Aston Villa win with a probability of 43.39%. A win for Bologna has a probability of 31.69% and a draw has a probability of 24.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Aston Villa win is 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.97%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Bologna win is 0-1 (7.66%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.47%).

Result

Aston Villa 43.39%
Draw 24.99%
Bologna 31.69%

Both Teams to Score: 

56.01%

Goals

Over 1.5 77.33%
Under 1.5 22.67%
Over 2.5 54.38%
Under 2.5 45.62%
Over 3.5 32.1%
Under 3.5 67.9%
Over 4.5 18.69%
Under 4.5 81.31%

First Half Winner

Aston Villa 31.46%
Draw 42%
Bologna 26.53%

Team To Score First

Aston Villa 49.23%
No Goal 6.11%
Bologna 44.66%

Corners

Over 8 53.17%
Equal 8 11.57%
Under 8 35.26%
Over 9 41.8%
Equal 9 11.37%
Under 9 46.83%
Over 10.5 31.51%
Under 10.5 68.49%

Aston Villa Goals

Over 1.5 44.3%
Under 1.5 55.7%
Over 2.5 20.37%
Under 2.5 79.63%
Over 3.5 7.69%
Under 3.5 92.31%

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5 67.15%
Under 0.5 32.85%
Over 1.5 34.48%
Under 1.5 65.52%
Over 2.5 13.41%
Under 2.5 86.59%
Over 3.5 4.39%
Under 3.5 95.61%

Score analysis

Aston Villa 43.39%
Draw 24.99%
Bologna 31.69%
Aston Villa
2-1 @ 9%
1-0 @ 8.97%
2-0 @ 6.67%
3-1 @ 4.54%
3-0 @ 3.74%
3-2 @ 3.04%
Other @ 7.43%
Total : 43.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.47%
0-0 @ 6.11%
2-2 @ 5.79%
3-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 24.99%
Bologna
0-1 @ 7.66%
1-2 @ 7.44%
0-2 @ 4.8%
1-3 @ 3.09%
2-3 @ 2.47%
0-3 @ 2.1%
Other @ 4.13%
Total : 31.69%

Head to Head

Europa League
Apr 9, 2026 8.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
  • Nikola Moro 67' yellowcard
  • Riccardo Orsolini 67' yellowcard
  • Riccardo Orsolini 68' yellowcard
  • Nikola Moro 68' yellowcard
  • Jens Odgaard 82' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Rowe 90' goal
  • Nicolò Cambiaghi 90' yellowcard
  • goal Ezri Konsa 44'
  • goal Ollie Watkins 51'
  • yellowcard Lamare Bogarde 80'
  • yellowcard Leon Bailey 88'
  • yellowcard Ian Maatsen 88'
  • goal Ollie Watkins 90'+4'
Europa League
Sep 25, 2025 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Champions League
Oct 22, 2024 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Villa Park
  • Ross Barkley 50' yellowcard
  • John McGinn 55' goal
  • Jhon Duran 64' goal
  • yellowcard Riccardo Orsolini 19'
  • yellowcard Stefan Posch 45'
  • yellowcard Charalampos Lykogiannis 47'
  • yellowcard Remo Freuler 53'