Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 55.3%. A draw had a probability of 24.58% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 20.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (10.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%) , while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.