Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 66.02%. A draw had a probability of 20.88% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 13.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.46%) and 2-1 (10.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.77%) , while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.