Serie A
Mar 22, 2026 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • Daniele Ghilardi 46' yellowcard
  • Robinio Vaz 51' yellowcard
  • Robinio Vaz 57' goal
  • Angeliño 75' yellowcard
  • Antonio Arena 75' yellowcard
  • Lorenzo Venturino 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sadik Fofana 61'
  • yellowcard Walid Cheddira 61'
  • yellowcard Konan N’Dri 67'
  • yellowcard Thórir Jóhann Helgason 85'
  • yellowcard Thórir Jóhann Helgason 86'
  • yellowcard Álex Sala 86'

Roma vs Lecce - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions
Last game
Mar 15, 2026 5.00pm
Como 2 - 1 Roma
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Donyell Malen

Lecce

All competitions
Last game
Mar 14, 2026 5.00pm
Napoli 2 - 1 Lecce
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
Lameck Banda

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 66.02%. A draw had a probability of 20.88% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 13.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.46%) and 2-1 (10.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.77%) , while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.

Result

Roma 66.02%
Draw 20.88%
Lecce 13.07% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.89%

Goals

Over 1.5 74.95% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 25.05% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 51.01% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 48.99% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 28.12% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 71.88% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 17.53% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 82.47% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Roma 43.22%
Draw 39.65%
Lecce 17.13%

Team To Score First

Roma 66.18%
No Goal 6.81%
Lecce 27.01%

Corners

Over 8 57.79% (+0.08)
Equal 8 11.05%
Under 8 31.16% (-0.08)
Over 9 46.53% (+0.06)
Equal 9 11.26% (+0.02)
Under 9 42.21% (-0.08)
Over 10.5 35.97% (+0.04)
Under 10.5 64.03% (-0.04)

Roma Goals

Over 1.5 57.71% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 42.29% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 30.48% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 69.52% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 12.97% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 87.03% (-0.04)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5 46.17%
Under 0.5 53.83%
Over 1.5 15.1%
Under 1.5 84.9%
Over 2.5 3.48%
Under 2.5 96.52%
Over 3.5 0.66% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 99.34% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Roma 66.03%
Draw 20.88%
Lecce 13.09%
Roma
1-0 @ 13.43% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 12.46% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 10.33% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 8.21% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 6.16%
3-2 @ 2.52%
Other @ 12.92% (+0.03)
Total : 66.03%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.77%
0-0 @ 6.81%
2-2 @ 3.63%
Other @ 0.05%
Total : 20.88%
Lecce
0-1 @ 4.81% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 3.79% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 1.68% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.61% (-0.02)
Total : 13.09%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 19
Jan 6, 2026 5.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
  • Konan N’Dri 46' yellowcard
  • Santiago Pierotti 56' yellowcard
  • Olaf Gorter 64' yellowcard
  • Nikola Stulic 64' yellowcard
  • Thórir Jóhann Helgason 75' yellowcard
  • goal Evan Ferguson 14'
  • yellowcard Konstantinos Tsimikas 60'
  • yellowcard Artem Dovbyk 60'
  • goal Artem Dovbyk 71'
  • yellowcard Matías Soulé 79'
  • yellowcard Alessandro Romano 86'
Serie A Gameweek 30
Mar 29, 2025 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
  • Jesper Karlsson 54' yellowcard
  • goal 67'
  • yellowcard Tommaso Baldanzi 75'
  • yellowcard Alexis Saelemaekers 78'
  • goal Artem Dovbyk 80'
Serie A Gameweek 15
Dec 7, 2024 7.45pm
4
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • Alexis Saelemaekers 12' yellowcard
  • Alexis Saelemaekers 13' goal
  • Gianluca Mancini 59' goal
  • Niccolo Pisilli 66' goal
  • Kouadio Kone 86' goal
  • Kouadio Kone 87' yellowcard
  • goal Nikola Krstovic 40'
  • yellowcard Nikola Krstovic 69'
  • yellowcard Mohamed Kaba 72'
  • yellowcard Remi Oudin 78'
Serie A Gameweek 30
Apr 1, 2024 5.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
  • Roberto Piccoli 38' yellowcard
  • Federico Baschirotto 45' yellowcard
  • Ylber Ramadani 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Evan N'Dicka 11'
  • yellowcard Bryan Cristante 84'
Serie A Gameweek 11
Nov 5, 2023 5.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • Renato Sanches 76' yellowcard
  • Diego Llorente 89' yellowcard
  • Sardar Azmoun 90'+1' goal
  • Romelu Lukaku 90'+4' goal
  • Romelu Lukaku 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lameck Banda 17'
  • yellowcard Patrick Dorgu 27'
  • goal Pontus Almqvist 72'
  • yellowcard Ylber Ramadani 77'
  • yellowcard Ahmed Touba 81'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Espeto 87'
Serie A Gameweek 22
Feb 11, 2023 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
  • Ibanez 7' goal
  • goal Paulo Dybala 17'