Serie A Gameweek 29
Mar 14, 2026 5.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
  • Rasmus Højlund 46' goal
  • Scott McTominay 46' yellowcard
  • Kevin De Bruyne  46' yellowcard
  • Matteo Politano  67' goal
  • Miguel Gutiérrez 72' yellowcard
  • Pasquale Mazzocchi  72' yellowcard
  • Giovane 85' yellowcard
  • 85' yellowcard
  • goal Jamil Siebert 3'
  • yellowcard Omri Gandelman 46'
  • yellowcard Walid Cheddira 59'
  • yellowcard Corrie Ndaba 79'
  • yellowcard Konan N’Dri 79'
  • yellowcard Sadik Fofana 85'
  • yellowcard 85'
  • yellowcard Sadik Fofana 86'

Napoli vs Lecce - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Napoli

All competitions
Last game
Mar 6, 2026 7.45pm
Napoli 2 - 1 Torino
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Rasmus Hojlund

Lecce

All competitions
Last game
Mar 8, 2026 11.30am
Lecce 2 - 1 Cremonese
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
Lameck Banda

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 64.93%. A draw had a probability of 23.24% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 11.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.17%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%) , while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.

Result

Napoli 64.93% (-0.03)
Draw 23.24% (+0.03)
Lecce 11.83%

Both Teams to Score: 

38.04%

Goals

Over 1.5 67.08% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 32.92% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 41.33%
Under 2.5 58.67%
Over 3.5 20.84%
Under 3.5 79.16%
Over 4.5 12.6%
Under 4.5 87.4%

First Half Winner

Napoli 45.04%
Draw 39.23%
Lecce 15.73%

Team To Score First

Napoli 64.94%
No Goal 9.96%
Lecce 25.1%

Corners

Over 8 56.24%
Equal 8 11.93%
Under 8 31.83%
Over 9 44.23%
Equal 9 12.01%
Under 9 43.76%
Over 10.5 33.18%
Under 10.5 66.82%

Napoli Goals

Over 1.5 51.31% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 48.69% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 24.71%
Under 2.5 75.29%
Over 3.5 9.64%
Under 3.5 90.36%

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5 40.77% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 59.23% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 11.21% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 88.79% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 2.33% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 97.67% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 0.43%
Under 3.5 99.57%

Score analysis

Napoli 64.93%
Draw 23.24%
Lecce 11.82%
Napoli
1-0 @ 17.43%
2-0 @ 14.17% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.13% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 8.1%
3-1 @ 4.9% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.64%
Other @ 9.56% (-0.01)
Total : 64.93%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.01%
0-0 @ 9.96%
2-2 @ 2.76% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.08% (+0.01)
Total : 23.24%
Lecce
0-1 @ 5.52%
1-2 @ 2.92%
0-2 @ 1.56% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.35% (-0.02)
Total : 11.82%

Head to Head

Serie A European Under-21s Championship
Oct 28, 2025 5.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Serie A Gameweek 35
May 3, 2025 5.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
  • Nikola Krstovic 66' yellowcard
  • Tete Morente 82' yellowcard
  • goal Giacomo Raspadori 24'
Serie A Gameweek 9
Oct 26, 2024 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
  • Cyril Ngonge 19' yellowcard
  • Giovanni Di Lorenzo 51' yellowcard
  • Giovanni Di Lorenzo 73' goal
  • Ante Rebic 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Santiago Pierotti 77'
  • yellowcard Ante Rebic 90'+3'
Serie A Gameweek 38
May 26, 2024 5.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Serie A Gameweek 7
Sep 30, 2023 2.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
  • Antonino Gallo 36' yellowcard
  • Ylber Ramadani 57' yellowcard
  • Roberto D'Aversa 67' yellowcard
  • Joan Gonzalez 81' yellowcard
  • goal Leo Skiri Oestigaard 16'
  • yellowcard Giovanni Simeone 17'
  • yellowcard Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 33'
  • goal Victor Osimhen 51'
  • goal Gianluca Gaetano 88'
  • goal Matteo Politano 90'+4'
Serie A Gameweek 29
Apr 7, 2023 6.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
  • Federico Di Francesco 52' goal
  • goal Giovanni Di Lorenzo 18'
  • goal Antonino Gallo 64' (OG)