Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 48.79%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 24.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.49%) and 0-2 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.33%) , while for a Hellas Verona win it was 1-0 (8.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.