Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 59.89%. A draw had a probability of 24.84% and a win for Torino had a probability of 15.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.08%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%) , while for a Torino win it was 0-1 (6.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.