Serie A Gameweek 31
Apr 6, 2026 2.00pm
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare

Lecce vs Atalanta BC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lecce

All competitions
Last game
Mar 22, 2026 5.00pm
Roma 1 - 0 Lecce
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
Lameck Banda

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Last game
Mar 22, 2026 2.00pm
Atalanta 1 - 0 Hellas Verona
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Nikola Krstovic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 45.53%. A win for Lecce has a probability of 27.69% and a draw has a probability of 26.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Atalanta BC win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (8.46%). The likeliest Lecce win is 1-0 (8.76%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.63%).

Result

Lecce 27.69% (-0.30)
Draw 26.71% (-0.29)
Atalanta BC 45.53% (+0.50)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.8% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.2% (+0.19)
Under 1.5 29.8% (-0.18)
Over 2.5 44.57% (+0.21)
Under 2.5 55.43% (-0.21)
Over 3.5 23.33% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 76.67% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 12.22% (-0.12)
Under 4.5 87.78% (+0.13)

First Half Winner

Lecce 25.5% (-0.84)
Draw 44.32% (+0.55)
Atalanta BC 30.18% (+0.29)

Team To Score First

Lecce 41.17% (-1.33)
No Goal 8.67% (-0.20)
Atalanta BC 50.16% (+1.52)

Corners

Over 8 51.21% (-0.12)
Equal 8 12.68% (+0.37)
Under 8 36.12% (-0.25)
Over 9 38.92% (-0.48)
Equal 9 12.28% (+0.35)
Under 9 48.79% (+0.12)
Over 10.5 28.07% (-0.75)
Under 10.5 71.93% (+0.75)

Lecce Goals

Over 1.5 26.48% (-0.22)
Under 1.5 73.52% (+0.21)
Over 2.5 8.53% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 91.47% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 2.15% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 97.85% (+0.11)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5 74.23% (+0.57)
Under 0.5 25.77% (-0.56)
Over 1.5 40.34% (+0.37)
Under 1.5 59.66% (-0.37)
Over 2.5 16.43%
Under 2.5 83.57%
Over 3.5 5.54% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 94.46% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Lecce 27.68%
Draw 26.72%
Atalanta BC 45.52%
Lecce
1-0 @ 8.76% (-0.22)
2-1 @ 6.6% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 4.55% (-0.13)
3-1 @ 2.37% (+0.08)
3-2 @ 1.69% (+0.07)
3-0 @ 1.59% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.12% (-0.09)
Total : 27.68%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.63% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 8.67% (-0.20)
2-2 @ 4.66% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.03% (-0.03)
Total : 26.72%
Atalanta BC
0-1 @ 12.29% (+0.12)
1-2 @ 9.1% (+0.19)
0-2 @ 8.46% (+0.13)
1-3 @ 4.08% (+0.07)
0-3 @ 3.94% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.14% (-0.05)
Other @ 5.51% (-0.01)
Total : 45.52%

Head to Head

Serie A European Under-21s Championship
Sep 14, 2025 2.00pm
4
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Serie A Gameweek 34
Apr 27, 2025 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Gewiss Stadium
  • Mateo Retegui 69' goal
  • Davide Zappacosta 78' yellowcard
  • goal Jesper Karlsson 29'
  • yellowcard Antonino Gallo 49'
Serie A Gameweek 1
Aug 19, 2024 5.30pm
0
4
HT : 0 2
FT Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
  • goal Marco Brescianini 35'
  • goal Mateo Retegui 45'
  • goal Mateo Retegui 57'
  • yellowcard Marten de Roon 60'
  • goal Marco Brescianini 66'
  • yellowcard Ederson 80'
Serie A Gameweek 37
May 18, 2024 5.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
  • yellowcard Hans Hateboer 25'
  • yellowcard El Bilal Toure 37'
  • yellowcard Mario Pasalic 44'
  • goal Charles De Ketelaere 48'
  • goal Gianluca Scamacca 53'
  • yellowcard Rafael Toloi 67'
Serie A Gameweek 18
Dec 30, 2023 11.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Gewiss Stadium
  • Davide Zappacosta 35' yellowcard
  • Ademola Lookman 58' goal
  • Emil Holm 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ylber Ramadani 82'
  • yellowcard Remi Oudin 90'+5'
Serie A Gameweek 23
Feb 19, 2023 11.30am
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Gewiss Stadium
  • Rasmus Hojlund 87' goal
  • goal Assan Ceesay 4'
  • goal Alexis Blin 74'