Champions League
Mar 18, 2026 8.00pm
4
1
HT : 0 0
FT Allianz Arena
  • Harry Kane 24' yellowcard
  • Harry Kane 25' yellowcard
  • Harry Kane 26' yellowcard
  • Harry Kane 54' goal
  • Deniz Ofli 55' yellowcard
  • Lennart Karl 56' goal
  • Deniz Ofli 56' yellowcard
  • Luis Díaz 70' goal
  • Serge Gnabry 72' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Jackson 72' yellowcard
  • Tom Bischof 72' yellowcard
  • Tom Bischof 73' yellowcard
  • Hiroki Ito 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marten de Roon 57'
  • yellowcard Lazar Samardžić 57'
  • yellowcard Marten de Roon 59'
  • yellowcard Lazar Samardžić 59'
  • yellowcard Nikola Krstović 71'
  • yellowcard Giacomo Raspadori 71'
  • yellowcard Honest Ahanor 83'
  • goal Lazar Samardžić 85'

Bayern Munich vs Atalanta BC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Mar 10, 2026 8.00pm
Atalanta 1 - 6 Bayern

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Mar 10, 2026 8.00pm
Atalanta 1 - 6 Bayern

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 66.17%. A draw had a probability of 20.22% and a win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 13.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.54%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.91%) , while for a Atalanta BC win it was 0-1 (4.47%).

Result

Bayern Munich 66.17%
Draw 20.22% (+0.03)
Atalanta BC 13.64% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.47% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.41% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 22.59% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 55.09% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 44.91% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 34.72% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 65.28% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 23.26% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 76.74% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Bayern Munich 43.74%
Draw 36.75%
Atalanta BC 19.51%

Team To Score First

Bayern Munich 61.1% (-0.04)
No Goal 6.34% (+0.05)
Atalanta BC 32.56% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 51.88%
Equal 8 11.42%
Under 8 36.69%
Over 9 40.76%
Equal 9 11.13%
Under 9 48.12%
Over 10.5 30.76%
Under 10.5 69.24%

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 1.5 60.55% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 39.45% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 35.08% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 64.92% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 16.64% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 83.36% (+0.02)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5 45.92% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 54.08% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 17.2% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 82.8% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 5.16% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 94.84% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 1.6%
Under 3.5 98.4%

Score analysis

Bayern Munich 66.17%
Draw 20.22%
Atalanta BC 13.64%
Bayern Munich
1-0 @ 11.81% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 11.54% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 8.9% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 7.99%
3-1 @ 6.44% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.06% (-0.01)
Other @ 16.43% (-0.02)
Total : 66.17%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.91% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 6.34% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 3.81%
Other @ 0.21% (+0.01)
Total : 20.22%
Atalanta BC
0-1 @ 4.47%
1-2 @ 3.29% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.88% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.22%
1-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 1.39% (-0.02)
Total : 13.64%

Head to Head

Champions League
Mar 10, 2026 8.00pm
1
6
HT : 0 3
FT Gewiss Stadium
  • Berat Djimsiti 46' yellowcard
  • 46' yellowcard
  • Honest Ahanor 55' yellowcard
  • Yunus Musah 55' yellowcard
  • Raoul Bellanova 67' yellowcard
  • Lazar Samardžić 73' yellowcard
  • Mario Pašalić 90'+3' goal
  • goal Josip Stanisic 12'
  • goal Michael Olise 22'
  • goal Serge Gnabry 25'
  • yellowcard Jamal Musiala 46'
  • yellowcard Alphonso Davies 46'
  • goal Nicolas Jackson 52'
  • goal Michael Olise 64'
  • goal Jamal Musiala 67'
  • yellowcard Leon Goretzka 68'
  • yellowcard Tom Bischof 71'
  • yellowcard Raphaël Guerreiro 86'