Champions League
Mar 18, 2026 8.00pm
Allianz Arena

Bayern Munich vs Atalanta BC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Mar 10, 2026 8.00pm
Atalanta 1 - 6 Bayern

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Mar 10, 2026 8.00pm
Atalanta 1 - 6 Bayern

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 66.72%. A draw has a probability of 19.88% and a win for Atalanta BC has a probability of 13.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win is 2-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (11.28%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.7%) , while for a Atalanta BC win it is 0-1 (4.19%).

Result

Bayern Munich 66.72% (+0.55)
Draw 19.88% (-0.29)
Atalanta BC 13.36% (-0.36)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.7% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.45% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 21.55% (-0.10)
Over 2.5 56.65% (+0.30)
Under 2.5 43.32% (-0.33)
Over 3.5 36.31% (+0.50)
Under 3.5 63.69% (-0.50)
Over 4.5 24.78% (+0.59)
Under 4.5 75.22% (-0.60)

First Half Winner

Bayern Munich 44.92% (+1.58)
Draw 36.56% (-0.88)
Atalanta BC 18.51% (-0.69)

Team To Score First

Bayern Munich 62.77% (+1.86)
No Goal 6.05% (-0.05)
Atalanta BC 31.18% (-1.80)

Corners

Over 8 53.35% (+1.03)
Equal 8 11.49% (+0.11)
Under 8 35.16% (-1.14)
Over 9 42.04% (+0.83)
Equal 9 11.31% (+0.20)
Under 9 46.65% (-1.03)
Over 10.5 31.78% (+0.61)
Under 10.5 68.22% (-0.60)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 1.5 61.86% (+0.54)
Under 1.5 38.14% (-0.54)
Over 2.5 36.69% (+0.68)
Under 2.5 63.31% (-0.68)
Over 3.5 18.11% (+0.68)
Under 3.5 81.89% (-0.68)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5 45.41% (-0.67)
Under 0.5 54.59% (+0.67)
Over 1.5 17.29% (-0.40)
Under 1.5 82.71% (+0.40)
Over 2.5 5.39% (-0.17)
Under 2.5 94.61% (+0.16)
Over 3.5 1.64% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 98.36% (+0.07)

Score analysis

Bayern Munich 66.72%
Draw 19.89%
Atalanta BC 13.36%
Bayern Munich
2-0 @ 11.3% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 11.28% (-0.08)
2-1 @ 8.74% (-0.09)
3-0 @ 8.08% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 6.49%
3-2 @ 2.98% (-0.02)
Other @ 17.85% (+0.68)
Total : 66.72%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.7% (-0.15)
0-0 @ 6.05% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 3.85% (-0.07)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 19.89%
Atalanta BC
0-1 @ 4.19% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 3.27% (-0.09)
0-2 @ 1.8% (-0.07)
2-3 @ 1.28%
1-3 @ 1.2% (-0.03)
Other @ 1.38% (-0.08)
Total : 13.36%

Head to Head

Champions League
Mar 10, 2026 8.00pm
1
6
HT : 0 3
FT Gewiss Stadium
  • Berat Djimsiti 46' yellowcard
  • 46' yellowcard
  • Honest Ahanor 55' yellowcard
  • Yunus Musah 55' yellowcard
  • Raoul Bellanova 67' yellowcard
  • Lazar Samardžić 73' yellowcard
  • Mario Pašalić 90'+3' goal
  • goal Josip Stanisic 12'
  • goal Michael Olise 22'
  • goal Serge Gnabry 25'
  • yellowcard Jamal Musiala 46'
  • yellowcard Alphonso Davies 46'
  • goal Nicolas Jackson 52'
  • goal Michael Olise 64'
  • goal Jamal Musiala 67'
  • yellowcard Leon Goretzka 68'
  • yellowcard Tom Bischof 71'
  • yellowcard Raphaël Guerreiro 86'