Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 60.39%. A draw had a probability of 23.05% and a win for Sunderland had a probability of 16.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.54%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%) , while for a Sunderland win it was 0-1 (5.66%).