Premier League Gameweek 33
Apr 19, 2026 2.00pm
Villa Park

Aston Villa vs Sunderland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

All competitions
Last game
Apr 12, 2026 2.00pm
Nott'm Forest 1 - 1 Aston Villa
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Ollie Watkins

Sunderland

All competitions
Last game
Apr 12, 2026 2.00pm
Sunderland 1 - 0 Spurs
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Brian Brobbey

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Aston Villa win with a probability of 60.43%. A draw has a probability of 23.02% and a win for Sunderland has a probability of 16.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Aston Villa win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.52%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.67%) , while for a Sunderland win it is 0-1 (5.68%).

Result

Aston Villa 60.43% (+4.05)
Draw 23.02% (-1.11)
Sunderland 16.55% (-2.95)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.51% (-0.83)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.25% (+0.35)
Under 1.5 26.75% (-0.36)
Over 2.5 48.69% (+0.40)
Under 2.5 51.31% (-0.40)
Over 3.5 26.83% (+0.33)
Under 3.5 73.17% (-0.33)
Over 4.5 16.1% (+0.86)
Under 4.5 83.9% (-0.85)

First Half Winner

Aston Villa 44.25% (+5.78)
Draw 39.87% (-1.73)
Sunderland 15.88% (-4.05)

Team To Score First

Aston Villa 65.08% (+5.29)
No Goal 7.53% (-0.07)
Sunderland 27.39% (-5.22)

Corners

Over 8 63.08% (-2.91)
Equal 8 11.26% (+0.34)
Under 8 25.66% (+2.56)
Over 9 51.08% (-2.97)
Equal 9 12% (+0.07)
Under 9 36.92% (+2.90)
Over 10.5 39.42% (-2.75)
Under 10.5 60.58% (+2.75)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 1.5 52.82% (+2.73)
Under 1.5 47.18% (-2.73)
Over 2.5 26.25% (+2.58)
Under 2.5 73.75% (-2.58)
Over 3.5 10.83% (+1.77)
Under 3.5 89.17% (-1.77)

Sunderland Goals

Over 0.5 49.86% (-4.24)
Under 0.5 50.14% (+4.24)
Over 1.5 18.14% (-2.83)
Under 1.5 81.86% (+2.83)
Over 2.5 4.78% (-1.21)
Under 2.5 95.22% (+1.21)
Over 3.5 1.01% (-0.40)
Under 3.5 98.99% (+0.40)

Score analysis

Aston Villa 60.43%
Draw 23.01%
Sunderland 16.55%
Aston Villa
1-0 @ 13.53% (+0.59)
2-0 @ 11.52% (+0.93)
2-1 @ 9.9% (-0.17)
3-0 @ 6.76% (+0.98)
3-1 @ 5.47% (+0.15)
3-2 @ 2.46% (-0.23)
Other @ 10.79% (+1.81)
Total : 60.43%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.67% (-0.52)
0-0 @ 7.53% (-0.07)
2-2 @ 4.04% (-0.38)
Other @ 0.04% (-0.04)
Total : 23.01%
Sunderland
0-1 @ 5.68% (-0.87)
1-2 @ 4.48% (-0.57)
0-2 @ 2.38% (-0.48)
1-3 @ 1.21% (-0.31)
2-3 @ 1.11% (-0.24)
Other @ 0.97% (-0.37)
Total : 16.55%

Head to Head

Premier League
Sep 21, 2025 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Championship
Mar 6, 2018 7.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Donald Love 23' yellowcard
  • Bryan Oviedo 55' yellowcard
  • goal Lewis Grabban 34'
  • yellowcard James Chester 35'
  • goal James Chester 45'
  • goal Bryan Oviedo 66' (OG)
Championship
Nov 21, 2017 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Albert Adomah 10' goal
  • Josh Onomah 49' goal
  • goal Lewis Grabban 72'
Premier League
Jan 2, 2016 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Wes Brown 26' yellowcard
  • Patrick van Aanholt 30' goal
  • Fabio Borini 33' yellowcard
  • Jermain Defoe 73' goal
  • Jermain Defoe 92' goal
  • Lee Cattermole 95' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alan Hutton 43'
  • goal Carles Gil 63'
  • yellowcard Adama Traore 69'
  • yellowcard Carles Gil 87'
  • yellowcard Rudy Gestede 95'
Premier League
Aug 29, 2015 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Scott Sinclair 11' goal
  • Ciaran Clark 37' yellowcard
  • Scott Sinclair 41' goal
  • Carles Gil 79' yellowcard
  • goal Yann M'Vila 8'
  • goal Jeremain Lens 52'
  • yellowcard Costel Pantilimon 90'
Premier League
Mar 14, 2015 3.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 4
FT
  • Liam Bridcutt 91' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Leandro Bacuna 8'
  • goal Christian Benteke 16'
  • goal Gabriel Agbonlahor 18'
  • goal Gabriel Agbonlahor 37'
  • goal Christian Benteke 44'