Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 48.58%. A win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 27.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Tottenham Hotspur win was 1-2 (7.07%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.