May 16, 2026 3.00pm

Wembley Stadium

Chelsea vs Manchester City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea

All competitions

D
L
W
L
L
L

Manchester City

All competitions

W
D
W
W
W
W

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Manchester City win with a probability of 47.6%. A win for Chelsea has a probability of 30.58% and a draw has a probability of 21.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.36%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Chelsea win is 2-1 (7%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.99%).

Result

Chelsea 30.58%

Draw 21.82%

Manchester City 47.6%

Both Teams to Score:

59.2%

Goals

Over 1.5 80.44%

Under 1.5 19.56%

Over 2.5 59.17%

Under 2.5 40.83%

Over 3.5 36.24%

Under 3.5 63.76%

Over 4.5 22.25%

Under 4.5 77.75%

First Half Winner

Chelsea 28.13%

Draw 37.73%

Manchester City 34.14%

Team To Score First

Chelsea 43.82%

No Goal 4.69%

Manchester City 51.49%

Corners

Over 8 54.24%

Equal 8 11.39%

Under 8 34.37%

Over 9 42.95%

Equal 9 11.29%

Under 9 45.76%

Over 10.5 32.64%

Under 10.5 67.36%

Chelsea Goals

Over 1.5 34.93%

Under 1.5 65.07%

Over 2.5 14.36%

Under 2.5 85.64%

Over 3.5 5.08%

Under 3.5 94.92%

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5 77.33%

Under 0.5 22.67%

Over 1.5 48.93%

Under 1.5 51.07%

Over 2.5 24.11%

Under 2.5 75.89%

Over 3.5 9.5%

Under 3.5 90.5%

Score analysis

Chelsea 30.59%

Draw 21.81%

Manchester City 47.6%

Chelsea

2-1 @ 7%

1-0 @ 6.51%

2-0 @ 4.27%

3-1 @ 3.05%

3-2 @ 2.56%

3-0 @ 2.2%

Other @ 5%

Total : 30.59%

Draw

1-1 @ 9.99%

2-2 @ 5.58%

0-0 @ 4.69%

3-3 @ 1.47%

Other @ 0.08%

Total : 21.81%

Manchester City

1-2 @ 9.68%

0-1 @ 8.36%

0-2 @ 7%

1-3 @ 5.37%

0-3 @ 4.05%

2-3 @ 3.72%

Other @ 9.42%

Total : 47.6%

Head to Head

Apr 12, 2026 4.30pm

0

3

HT : 0 0

FT Stamford Bridge

Alejandro Garnacho 67'
Roméo Lavia 67'
Roméo Lavia 68'
Liam Delap 81'
Dário Essugo 82'
Josh Acheampong 88'

Nico O'Reilly 51'
Marc Guéhi 57'
Rayan Aït-Nouri 64'
Jérémy Doku 68'
Phil Foden 76'
Savinho 76'
Mateo Kovacic 81'

Jan 4, 2026 5.30pm

1

1

HT : 1 0

FT Etihad Stadium

Tijjani Reijnders 42'
Abdukodir Khusanov 51'
Jérémy Doku 70'
Nathan Aké 81'

Andrey Santos 46'
Liam Delap 62'
Jorrel Hato 62'
Enzo Fernández 90'+4'

Jan 25, 2025 5.30pm

3

1

HT : 1 1

FT Etihad Stadium

Abdukodir Khusanov 4'
Josko Gvardiol 42'
Erling Haaland 68'
Bernardo Silva 79'
Mateo Kovacic 83'
Phil Foden 87'

Noni Madueke 3'
Levi Colwill 25'
Moises Caicedo 58'

Aug 18, 2024 4.30pm

0

2

HT : 0 1

FT Stamford Bridge

Moises Caicedo 89'

Erling Haaland 18'
Erling Haaland 66'
Mateo Kovacic 84'

Aug 3, 2024 10.30pm

4

2

HT : 2 0

FT Etihad Stadium

Erling Haaland 4'
Erling Haaland 5'
James McAtee 41'
Oscar Bobb 55'
Erling Haaland 56'

Moises Caicedo 14'
Malo Gusto 42'
Enzo Fernandez 45'
Raheem Sterling 59'
Noni Madueke 89'

Apr 20, 2024 5.15pm

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT Wembley Stadium

Julian Alvarez 58'
Bernardo Silva 84'
Djordje Petrovic 86'

Moises Caicedo 45'
Phil Foden 82'
Kevin De Bruyne 86'
Enzo Fernandez 86'

Form Data

Liverpool 1 - 1 Chelsea

Chelsea 1 - 3 Nott'm Forest

Chelsea 1 - 0 Leeds

Brighton 3 - 0 Chelsea

Chelsea 0 - 1 Man Utd

Chelsea 0 - 3 Man City

Man City 3 - 0 Brentford

Everton 3 - 3 Man City

Man City 2 - 1 Southampton

Burnley 0 - 1 Man City

Man City 2 - 1 Arsenal

Chelsea 0 - 3 Man City