Serie A
Genoa
May 17, 2026 11.00am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
AC Milan
  • Jeff Ekhator 64' yellowcard
  • Jeff Ekhator 65' yellowcard
  • Caleb Ekuban 85' yellowcard
  • 85' yellowcard
  • Johan Vásquez 86' goal
  • Aarón Martín 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Christopher Nkunku 50'
  • yellowcard Christopher Nkunku 51'
  • yellowcard Samuele Ricci 68'
  • yellowcard Niclas Füllkrug 68'
  • yellowcard Koni De Winter 76'
  • yellowcard Christian Pulisic 76'
  • goal Zachary Athekame 81'
  • yellowcard 85'
  • yellowcard Ruben Loftus-Cheek  85'
  • yellowcard Ruben Loftus-Cheek  86'

Genoa vs AC Milan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Genoa

All competitions
Last game
May 10, 2026 2.00pm
Fiorentina 0 - 0 Genoa
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Lorenzo Colombo

AC Milan

All competitions
Last game
May 10, 2026 7.45pm
AC Milan 2 - 3 Atalanta
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Rafael Leao

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 54.29%. A draw had a probability of 25.85% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 19.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.66%) and 1-2 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%) , while for a Genoa win it was 1-0 (7.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result

Genoa 19.9% ▲ (+0.65)
Draw 25.85% ▲ (+0.24)
AC Milan 54.29% ▼ (-0.87)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.74% ▲ (+0.72)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.78% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 1.5 29.22% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 2.5 45.3% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 2.5 54.7% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 3.5 24.06% ▲ (+0.46)
Under 3.5 75.94% ▼ (-0.47)
Over 4.5 13% ▲ (+0.34)
Under 4.5 87% ▼ (-0.35)

First Half Winner

Genoa 19.86% ▲ (+0.44)
Draw 45.49% ▲ (+0.20)
AC Milan 34.65% ▼ (-0.64)

Team To Score First

Genoa 32.44% ▲ (+0.74)
No Goal 9.05% ▼ (-0.15)
AC Milan 58.51% ▼ (-0.60)

Corners

Over 8 51% ▲ (+2.10)
Equal 8 12.7% ▼ (-0.56)
Under 8 36.3% ▼ (-1.55)
Over 9 38.72% ▲ (+2.43)
Equal 9 12.28% ▼ (-0.34)
Under 9 49% ▼ (-2.10)
Over 10.5 27.88% ▲ (+2.49)
Under 10.5 72.12% ▼ (-2.48)

Genoa Goals

Over 1.5 20.19% ▲ (+0.65)
Under 1.5 79.81% ▼ (-0.65)
Over 2.5 5.55% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 2.5 94.45% ▼ (-0.25)
Over 3.5 1.24% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 3.5 98.76% ▼ (-0.18)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5 78.91% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 0.5 21.09% ▲ (+0.24)
Over 1.5 47.38% ▼ (-0.48)
Under 1.5 52.62% ▲ (+0.48)
Over 2.5 21.46% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 2.5 78.54% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 3.5 7.79%
Under 3.5 92.21%

Score analysis

Genoa 19.89%
Draw 25.85%
AC Milan 54.3%
Genoa
1-0 @ 7.01% ▲ (+0.18)
2-1 @ 5.07% ▲ (+0.11)
2-0 @ 3.12% ▲ (+0.21)
3-1 @ 1.57% ▲ (+0.10)
3-2 @ 1.17% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 1.11% ▲ (+0.14)
Total : 19.89%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.69% ▲ (+0.30)
0-0 @ 9.05% ▼ (-0.15)
2-2 @ 4.25% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.13% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 25.85%
AC Milan
0-1 @ 13.2% ▼ (-0.25)
0-2 @ 10.66% ▼ (-0.23)
1-2 @ 9.84% ▼ (-0.18)
0-3 @ 5.5% ▼ (-0.33)
1-3 @ 5.24% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.2% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 7.66% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 54.3%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 19
AC Milan
Jan 8, 2026 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Genoa
  • Ruben Loftus-Cheek 46' yellowcard
  • Niclas Fullkrug 65' yellowcard
  • Zachary Athekame 75' yellowcard
  • 76' yellowcard
  • Rafael Leao 90'+2' goal
  • goal Lorenzo Colombo 28'
  • yellowcard Patrizio Masini 63'
  • yellowcard Mikael Egill Ellertsson 64'
  • yellowcard Patrizio Masini 64'
  • yellowcard 75'
  • yellowcard Jeff Ekhator 75'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Otoa 83'
  • yellowcard Nicolae Stanciu 83'
  • yellowcard Nicolae Stanciu 90'+9'
Serie A Gameweek 35
Genoa
May 5, 2025 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
AC Milan
  • Morten Thorsby 27' yellowcard
  • Vitinha 61' goal
  • yellowcard Strahinja Pavlovic 21'
  • yellowcard Ruben Loftus-Cheek 69'
  • goal Rafael Leao 76'
  • goal Morten Frendrup 77' (OG)
  • yellowcard Rafael Leao 82'
  • yellowcard Matteo Gabbia 84'
  • yellowcard Joao Felix 90'+2'
Serie A Gameweek 16
AC Milan
Dec 15, 2024 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Genoa
  • yellowcard Alessandro Vogliacco 22'
  • yellowcard Alessandro Zanoli 42'
Serie A Gameweek 35
AC Milan
May 5, 2024 5.00pm
3
3
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Genoa
  • Tijjani Reijnders 43' yellowcard
  • Alessandro Florenzi 45' goal
  • Matteo Gabbia 72' goal
  • Olivier Giroud 75' goal
  • goal Mateo Retegui 5'
  • goal Caleb Ekuban 48'
  • goal Malick Thiaw 87' (OG)
  • yellowcard Johan Vasquez 90'+4'
Serie A Gameweek 8
Genoa
Oct 7, 2023 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
AC Milan
  • Alberto Gilardino 10'+10' yellowcard
  • Koni De Winter 69' yellowcard
  • Josep Martinez 86' yellowcard
  • Josep Martinez 90'+13' redcard
  • yellowcard Theo Hernandez 21'
  • yellowcard Alessandro Florenzi 22'
  • yellowcard Yunus Musah 47'
  • yellowcard Yacine Adli 62'
  • goal Christian Pulisic 87'
  • redcard Mike Maignan 90'+8'
  • yellowcard Fikayo Tomori 90'+9'
Serie A Gameweek 33
AC Milan
Apr 15, 2022 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Genoa
  • Rafael Leao 11' goal
  • Sandro Tonali 84' yellowcard
  • Junior Messias 87' goal
  • yellowcard Kelvin Yeboah 79'
  • yellowcard Albert Gudmundsson 90'+4'

Form Data

Fiorentina 0 - 0 Genoa
Atalanta 0 - 0 Genoa
Genoa 0 - 2 Como
Pisa 1 - 2 Genoa
Genoa 2 - 1 Sassuolo
Juventus 2 - 0 Genoa
AC Milan 2 - 3 Atalanta
Sassuolo 2 - 0 AC Milan
AC Milan 0 - 0 Juventus
Hellas Verona 0 - 1 AC Milan
AC Milan 0 - 3 Udinese
Napoli 1 - 0 AC Milan