Serie A Gameweek 37
May 17, 2026 11.30am
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris

Genoa vs AC Milan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Genoa

All competitions
Last game
May 10, 2026 2.00pm
Fiorentina 0 - 0 Genoa
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Lorenzo Colombo

AC Milan

All competitions
Last game
May 10, 2026 7.45pm
AC Milan 2 - 3 Atalanta
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Rafael Leao

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AC Milan win with a probability of 55.17%. A draw has a probability of 25.58% and a win for Genoa has a probability of 19.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a AC Milan win is 0-1 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (10.85%) and 1-2 (10.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.36%) , while for a Genoa win it is 1-0 (6.82%).

Result

Genoa 19.28% (+0.05)
Draw 25.58%
AC Milan 55.17% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.08% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.63% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 29.37% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 45.48%
Under 2.5 54.52%
Over 3.5 23.7% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 76.3% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 12.74% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 87.26% (-0.01)

First Half Winner

Genoa 19.42%
Draw 45.3% (+0.01)
AC Milan 35.28%

Team To Score First

Genoa 31.7% (-0.04)
No Goal 9.18% (+0.02)
AC Milan 59.12% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 48.94% (+0.02)
Equal 8 13.25%
Under 8 37.81% (-0.02)
Over 9 36.31% (+0.02)
Equal 9 12.62%
Under 9 51.06% (-0.02)
Over 10.5 25.41% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 74.59% (-0.01)

Genoa Goals

Over 1.5 19.64% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 80.36% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 5.34% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 94.66% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 1.07%
Under 3.5 98.93%

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5 79.15% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 20.85% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 47.91% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 52.09% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 21.66%
Under 2.5 78.34%
Over 3.5 7.82% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 92.18% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Genoa 19.29%
Draw 25.59%
AC Milan 55.16%
Genoa
1-0 @ 6.82% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 4.98%
2-0 @ 2.93% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 1.49% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.11% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 19.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.36% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 9.18% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.27%
Other @ 0.08%
Total : 25.59%
AC Milan
0-1 @ 13.41% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 10.85% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 10.02% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 5.81%
1-3 @ 5.21%
2-3 @ 2.12% (+0.02)
Other @ 7.74% (-0.01)
Total : 55.16%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 19
Jan 8, 2026 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Ruben Loftus-Cheek 46' yellowcard
  • Niclas Fullkrug 65' yellowcard
  • Zachary Athekame 75' yellowcard
  • 76' yellowcard
  • Rafael Leao 90'+2' goal
  • goal Lorenzo Colombo 28'
  • yellowcard Patrizio Masini 63'
  • yellowcard Mikael Egill Ellertsson 64'
  • yellowcard Patrizio Masini 64'
  • yellowcard 75'
  • yellowcard Jeff Ekhator 75'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Otoa 83'
  • yellowcard Nicolae Stanciu 83'
  • yellowcard Nicolae Stanciu 90'+9'
Serie A Gameweek 35
May 5, 2025 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
  • Morten Thorsby 27' yellowcard
  • Vitinha 61' goal
  • yellowcard Strahinja Pavlovic 21'
  • yellowcard Ruben Loftus-Cheek 69'
  • goal Rafael Leao 76'
  • goal Morten Frendrup 77' (OG)
  • yellowcard Rafael Leao 82'
  • yellowcard Matteo Gabbia 84'
  • yellowcard Joao Felix 90'+2'
Serie A Gameweek 16
Dec 15, 2024 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • yellowcard Alessandro Vogliacco 22'
  • yellowcard Alessandro Zanoli 42'
Serie A Gameweek 35
May 5, 2024 5.00pm
3
3
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Tijjani Reijnders 43' yellowcard
  • Alessandro Florenzi 45' goal
  • Matteo Gabbia 72' goal
  • Olivier Giroud 75' goal
  • goal Mateo Retegui 5'
  • goal Caleb Ekuban 48'
  • goal Malick Thiaw 87' (OG)
  • yellowcard Johan Vasquez 90'+4'
Serie A Gameweek 8
Oct 7, 2023 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
  • Alberto Gilardino 10'+10' yellowcard
  • Koni De Winter 69' yellowcard
  • Josep Martinez 86' yellowcard
  • Josep Martinez 90'+13' redcard
  • yellowcard Theo Hernandez 21'
  • yellowcard Alessandro Florenzi 22'
  • yellowcard Yunus Musah 47'
  • yellowcard Yacine Adli 62'
  • goal Christian Pulisic 87'
  • redcard Mike Maignan 90'+8'
  • yellowcard Fikayo Tomori 90'+9'
Serie A Gameweek 33
Apr 15, 2022 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Rafael Leao 11' goal
  • Sandro Tonali 84' yellowcard
  • Junior Messias 87' goal
  • yellowcard Kelvin Yeboah 79'
  • yellowcard Albert Gudmundsson 90'+4'