Serie A Gameweek 33
Apr 19, 2026 2.00pm
Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi

Hellas Verona vs AC Milan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hellas Verona

All competitions
Last game
Apr 11, 2026 2.00pm
Torino 2 - 1 Hellas Verona
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Gift Orban

AC Milan

All competitions
Last game
Apr 11, 2026 5.00pm
AC Milan 0 - 3 Udinese
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Rafael Leao

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AC Milan win with a probability of 64.11%. A draw has a probability of 23% and a win for Hellas Verona has a probability of 12.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a AC Milan win is 0-1 with a probability of 17.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (14.21%) and 1-2 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 0-0 (10.57%) , while for a Hellas Verona win it is 1-0 (6.11%).

Result

Hellas Verona 12.88% (-1.15)
Draw 23% (-0.24)
AC Milan 64.11% (+1.39)

Both Teams to Score: 

35.58% (-2.38)

Goals

Over 1.5 65.79% (-0.90)
Under 1.5 34.21% (+0.90)
Over 2.5 39.93% (-0.65)
Under 2.5 60.07% (+0.65)
Over 3.5 19.68% (-0.27)
Under 3.5 80.32% (+0.26)
Over 4.5 11.35% (-0.27)
Under 4.5 88.65% (+0.28)

First Half Winner

Hellas Verona 14.95% (-4.07)
Draw 43% (+1.39)
AC Milan 42.06% (+2.70)

Team To Score First

Hellas Verona 25.75% (-3.41)
No Goal 10.57% (+0.43)
AC Milan 63.68% (+2.98)

Corners

Over 8 51.03% (-2.34)
Equal 8 12.2% (-0.03)
Under 8 36.77% (+2.37)
Over 9 39.24% (-2.09)
Equal 9 11.78% (-0.26)
Under 9 48.97% (+2.34)
Over 10.5 28.81% (-1.68)
Under 10.5 71.19% (+1.68)

Hellas Verona Goals

Over 1.5 11.36% (-1.33)
Under 1.5 88.64% (+1.33)
Over 2.5 1.9% (-0.61)
Under 2.5 98.1% (+0.61)
Over 3.5 0.33% (-0.12)
Under 3.5 99.67% (+0.13)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5 80.82% (+0.15)
Under 0.5 19.18% (-0.15)
Over 1.5 49.76% (+0.42)
Under 1.5 50.24% (-0.42)
Over 2.5 23.45% (+0.58)
Under 2.5 76.55% (-0.58)
Over 3.5 8.6% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 91.4% (+0.07)

Score analysis

Hellas Verona 12.88%
Draw 23.02%
AC Milan 64.1%
Hellas Verona
1-0 @ 6.11% (-0.07)
2-1 @ 3.06% (-0.42)
2-0 @ 1.93% (-0.16)
Other @ 0.32% (-0.12)
Total : 12.88%
Draw
0-0 @ 10.57% (+0.43)
1-1 @ 9.72% (-0.32)
2-2 @ 2.61% (-0.25)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 23.02%
AC Milan
0-1 @ 17.53% (+0.52)
0-2 @ 14.21% (+0.27)
1-2 @ 9.03% (-0.09)
0-3 @ 7.91% (+0.33)
1-3 @ 4.97% (+0.31)
2-3 @ 1.86% (+0.11)
Other @ 8.59% (-0.07)
Total : 64.1%

Head to Head

Serie A European Under-21s Championship
Dec 28, 2025 11.30am
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Christian Pulisic 45'+1' goal
  • Christopher Nkunku 48' goal
  • Christopher Nkunku 53' goal
  • yellowcard Ali Elmusrati 43'
Serie A Gameweek 25
Feb 15, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Yunus Musah 16' yellowcard
  • Alex Jimenez 59' yellowcard
  • Santiago Gimenez 75' goal
  • Santiago Gimenez 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Diego Coppola 11'
  • yellowcard Cheikh Niasse 21'
  • yellowcard Domagoj Bradaric 43'
  • yellowcard Ondrej Duda 50'
Serie A Gameweek 17
Dec 20, 2024 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
  • Pawel Dawidowicz 35' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Emerson 25'
  • goal Tijjani Reijnders 56'
Serie A Gameweek 29
Mar 17, 2024 2.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
  • Suat Serdar 6' yellowcard
  • Marco Baroni 7' yellowcard
  • Tijanni Noslin 64' goal
  • yellowcard Fikayo Tomori 30'
  • goal Theo Hernandez 44'
  • yellowcard Theo Hernandez 45'
  • goal Christian Pulisic 50'
  • goal Samuel Chukwueze 79'
  • yellowcard Tijjani Reijnders 87'
Serie A Gameweek 5
Sep 23, 2023 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Rafael Leao 8' goal
  • Malick Thiaw 24' yellowcard
  • Yunus Musah 58' yellowcard
  • Christian Pulisic 76' yellowcard
  • Alessandro Florenzi 89' yellowcard
  • Stefano Pioli 69'+69' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Davide Faraoni 42'
  • yellowcard Federico Bonazzoli 55'
Serie A Gameweek 38
Jun 4, 2023 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Olivier Giroud 45'+2' goal
  • Rafael Leao 85' goal
  • Rafael Leao 90'+2' goal
  • goal Davide Faraoni 72'