Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 66.22%. A draw had a probability of 21.55% and a win for Torino had a probability of 12.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.53%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%) , while for a Torino win it was 0-1 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.