Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 62.6%. A draw had a probability of 22.54% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 14.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.47%) and 2-1 (10.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%) , while for a Udinese win it was 0-1 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.