Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 44.04%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 28.8% and a draw had a probability of 27.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Udinese win was 0-1 (8.26%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.