Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 36.77%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 35.1% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 1-0 (11.15%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.