Serie A Gameweek 31
Apr 6, 2026 7.45pm
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

Napoli vs AC Milan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Napoli

All competitions
Last game
Mar 20, 2026 5.30pm
Cagliari 0 - 1 Napoli
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Rasmus Hojlund

AC Milan

All competitions
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 5.00pm
AC Milan 3 - 2 Torino
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Rafael Leao

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Napoli win with a probability of 36.72%. A win for AC Milan has a probability of 35.27% and a draw has a probability of 27.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest AC Milan win is 0-1 (10.39%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.22%).

Result

Napoli 36.72% (+0.59)
Draw 27.98% (-0.08)
AC Milan 35.27% (-0.58)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.44% (+0.33)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.85% (+0.31)
Under 1.5 30.15% (-0.32)
Over 2.5 44.24% (+0.53)
Under 2.5 55.76% (-0.53)
Over 3.5 22.6% (+0.34)
Under 3.5 77.4% (-0.34)
Over 4.5 11.59% (+0.09)
Under 4.5 88.41% (-0.10)

First Half Winner

Napoli 31.56% (-0.74)
Draw 42.49% (+1.02)
AC Milan 25.95% (-0.29)

Team To Score First

Napoli 48.1% (-0.25)
No Goal 8.98% (-0.26)
AC Milan 42.92% (+0.50)

Corners

Over 8 54.01% (+1.69)
Equal 8 11.97% (+0.08)
Under 8 34.02% (-1.76)
Over 9 42.17% (+1.47)
Equal 9 11.84% (+0.23)
Under 9 45.99% (-1.69)
Over 10.5 31.44% (+1.18)
Under 10.5 68.56% (-1.18)

Napoli Goals

Over 1.5 33.64% (+0.61)
Under 1.5 66.36% (-0.61)
Over 2.5 12.33% (+0.28)
Under 2.5 87.67% (-0.29)
Over 3.5 3.65% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 96.35% (-0.05)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5 67.73% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 32.27% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 32.57% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 67.43% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 11.81% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 88.19% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 3.42% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 96.58% (+0.07)

Score analysis

Napoli 36.72%
Draw 27.98%
AC Milan 35.27%
Napoli
1-0 @ 10.75% (+0.17)
2-1 @ 8.36% (+0.23)
2-0 @ 6.26% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.19% (+0.15)
3-0 @ 2.73% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.91% (+0.04)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 36.72%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.22% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 8.98% (-0.26)
2-2 @ 4.8% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.13% (+0.05)
Total : 27.98%
AC Milan
0-1 @ 10.39% (-0.31)
1-2 @ 7.93% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 6.12% (-0.25)
1-3 @ 3.03% (+0.06)
0-3 @ 2.62% (-0.09)
2-3 @ 1.89% (+0.05)
Other @ 3.29% (-0.11)
Total : 35.27%

Head to Head

Supercoppa Italiana
Dec 18, 2025 7.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • David Neres 39' goal
  • Rasmus Hojlund 63' goal
  • Leonardo Spinazzola 81' yellowcard
  • 81' yellowcard
  • Scott McTominay 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Adrien Rabiot 38'
  • yellowcard Fikayo Tomori 83'
  • yellowcard 83'
  • yellowcard 83'
  • yellowcard Zachary Athekame 85'
Serie A European Under-21s Championship
Sep 28, 2025 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Serie A Gameweek 30
Mar 30, 2025 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
  • Matteo Politano 2' goal
  • Romelu Lukaku 19' goal
  • Romelu Lukaku 40' yellowcard
  • Antonio Conte 76' yellowcard
  • goal Luka Jovic 84'
  • yellowcard Alex Jimenez 90'
Serie A Gameweek 10
Oct 29, 2024 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • goal Romelu Lukaku 5'
  • goal Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 43'
  • yellowcard Mathias Olivera 73'
Serie A Gameweek 24
Feb 11, 2024 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Theo Hernandez 25' goal
  • Theo Hernandez 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Juan Jesus 85'
Serie A Gameweek 10
Oct 29, 2023 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
  • Matteo Politano 50' goal
  • Natan 53' yellowcard
  • Giacomo Raspadori 63' goal
  • Giovanni Di Lorenzo 65' yellowcard
  • Alessandro Zanoli 86' yellowcard
  • Natan 89' redcard
  • goal Olivier Giroud 22'
  • goal Olivier Giroud 31'
  • yellowcard Tijjani Reijnders 55'
  • yellowcard Luka Romero 62'
  • yellowcard Yunus Musah 78'