Serie A Gameweek 31
Napoli
Apr 6, 2026 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
AC Milan
  • Alisson Santos 70' yellowcard
  • Matteo Politano  74' yellowcard
  • Matteo Politano  79' goal
  • Sam Beukema 85' yellowcard
  • Eljif Elmas 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Zachary Athekame 62'
  • yellowcard Santiago Gimenez 63'
  • yellowcard 74'
  • yellowcard Christian Pulisic 74'
  • yellowcard Ruben Loftus-Cheek  82'
  • yellowcard Rafael Leão 82'

Napoli vs AC Milan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Napoli

All competitions
Last game
Mar 20, 2026 5.30pm
Cagliari 0 - 1 Napoli
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Scott McTominay

AC Milan

All competitions
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 5.00pm
AC Milan 3 - 2 Torino
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Rafael Leao

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 36.69%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 35.33% and a draw had a probability of 28.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (10.45%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result

Napoli 36.69% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 28.04% ▲ (+0.03)
AC Milan 35.33% ▼ (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.37% ▼ (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.83% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 30.17% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 2.5 44.14% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 55.86% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 22.46% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 77.54% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 11.5% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 88.5% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Napoli 31.56%
Draw 42.49%
AC Milan 25.95%

Team To Score First

Napoli 48.07% ▼ (-0.03)
No Goal 9.04% ▲ (+0.03)
AC Milan 42.89% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 54.03%
Equal 8 11.98%
Under 8 33.99%
Over 9 42.18%
Equal 9 11.85%
Under 9 45.97%
Over 10.5 31.44%
Under 10.5 68.56%

Napoli Goals

Over 1.5 33.55%
Under 1.5 66.45%
Over 2.5 12.27% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 87.73% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 3.61%
Under 3.5 96.39%

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5 67.79% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 0.5 32.21% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 1.5 32.53% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 67.47% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 2.5 11.77% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 2.5 88.23% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 3.39% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 96.61% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Napoli 36.7%
Draw 28.04%
AC Milan 35.34%
Napoli
1-0 @ 10.76% ▲ (+0.03)
2-1 @ 8.37% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.27%
3-1 @ 3.18%
3-0 @ 2.73%
3-2 @ 1.9%
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 36.7%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.26%
0-0 @ 9.04% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.77% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 28.04%
AC Milan
0-1 @ 10.45% ▲ (+0.03)
1-2 @ 7.94% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 6.15% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.02% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.64% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.27% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 35.34%

Head to Head

Supercoppa Italiana
Napoli
Dec 18, 2025 7.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
AC Milan
  • David Neres 39' goal
  • Rasmus Hojlund 63' goal
  • Leonardo Spinazzola 81' yellowcard
  • 81' yellowcard
  • Scott McTominay 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Adrien Rabiot 38'
  • yellowcard Fikayo Tomori 83'
  • yellowcard 83'
  • yellowcard 83'
  • yellowcard Zachary Athekame 85'
Serie A European Under-21s Championship
AC Milan
Sep 28, 2025 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Napoli
Serie A Gameweek 30
Napoli
Mar 30, 2025 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
AC Milan
  • Matteo Politano 2' goal
  • Romelu Lukaku 19' goal
  • Romelu Lukaku 40' yellowcard
  • Antonio Conte 76' yellowcard
  • goal Luka Jovic 84'
  • yellowcard Alex Jimenez 90'
Serie A Gameweek 10
AC Milan
Oct 29, 2024 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Napoli
  • goal Romelu Lukaku 5'
  • goal Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 43'
  • yellowcard Mathias Olivera 73'
Serie A Gameweek 24
AC Milan
Feb 11, 2024 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Napoli
  • Theo Hernandez 25' goal
  • Theo Hernandez 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Juan Jesus 85'
Serie A Gameweek 10
Napoli
Oct 29, 2023 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
AC Milan
  • Matteo Politano 50' goal
  • Natan 53' yellowcard
  • Giacomo Raspadori 63' goal
  • Giovanni Di Lorenzo 65' yellowcard
  • Alessandro Zanoli 86' yellowcard
  • Natan 89' redcard
  • goal Olivier Giroud 22'
  • goal Olivier Giroud 31'
  • yellowcard Tijjani Reijnders 55'
  • yellowcard Luka Romero 62'
  • yellowcard Yunus Musah 78'

Form Data

Cagliari 0 - 1 Napoli
Napoli 2 - 1 Lecce
Napoli 2 - 1 Torino
Hellas Verona 1 - 2 Napoli
Atalanta 2 - 1 Napoli
Napoli 2 - 2 Roma
AC Milan 3 - 2 Torino
Lazio 1 - 0 AC Milan
AC Milan 1 - 0 Inter Milan
Cremonese 0 - 2 AC Milan
AC Milan 0 - 1 Parma
AC Milan 1 - 1 Como