Serie A Gameweek 30
Cagliari
Mar 20, 2026 5.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Sardegna Arena
Napoli
  • Semih Kılıçsoy 65' yellowcard
  • Alessandro Deiola 73' yellowcard
  • Paul Mendy 73' yellowcard
  • Yael Trepy 84' yellowcard
  • Othniël Raterink 84' yellowcard
  • Othniël Raterink 85' yellowcard
  • goal Scott McTominay 2'
  • yellowcard Alisson Santos 55'
  • yellowcard Frank Anguissa  77'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Spinazzola 77'
  • yellowcard Juan Jesus 84'

Cagliari vs Napoli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Cagliari

All competitions
Last game
Mar 15, 2026 2.00pm
Pisa 3 - 1 Cagliari
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Semih Kilicsoy

Napoli

All competitions
Last game
Mar 14, 2026 5.00pm
Napoli 2 - 1 Lecce
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Rasmus Hojlund

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 44.07%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 29.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-0 (8.58%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result

Cagliari 29.09% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 26.84%
Napoli 44.07% ▼ (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.51% ▲ (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.28% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 27.72% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 47.27% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 52.73% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 25.84% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 74.16% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 13.89% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 4.5 86.11% ▼ (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Cagliari 24%
Draw 44.46%
Napoli 31.55%

Team To Score First

Cagliari 36.59%
No Goal 7.99% ▼ (-0.01)
Napoli 55.42% ▲ (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 48.55%
Equal 8 12.57%
Under 8 38.88%
Over 9 36.64%
Equal 9 11.91%
Under 9 51.45%
Over 10.5 26.3%
Under 10.5 73.7%

Cagliari Goals

Over 1.5 29.34% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 1.5 70.66% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 2.5 9.92% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 90.08% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 2.83% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 97.17% ▼ (-0.02)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5 74.24%
Under 0.5 25.76%
Over 1.5 41.02% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 58.98% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 2.5 17.25% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 82.75% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 5.8%
Under 3.5 94.2%

Score analysis

Cagliari 29.09%
Draw 26.83%
Napoli 44.08%
Cagliari
1-0 @ 8.58%
2-1 @ 6.94% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 4.73% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 2.56%
3-2 @ 1.82%
3-0 @ 1.73%
Other @ 2.73% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 29.09%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.57% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 7.99% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.19% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.83%
Napoli
0-1 @ 11.15% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 9.05% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 7.71%
1-3 @ 4.2%
0-3 @ 3.71%
2-3 @ 2.56% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 5.7%
Total : 44.08%

Head to Head

Coppa Italia
Napoli
Dec 3, 2025 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
ET
Cagliari
  • Lorenzo Lucca 28' goal
  • yellowcard Sebastiano Luperto 22'
  • goal Sebastiano Esposito 67'
  • yellowcard Matteo Prati 80'
Serie A European Under-21s Championship
Napoli
Aug 30, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Cagliari
Serie A Gameweek 38
Napoli
May 23, 2025 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Cagliari
  • Matteo Politano 31' yellowcard
  • Scott McTominay 42' goal
  • Romelu Lukaku 51' goal
  • Romelu Lukaku 52' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Antoine Makoumbou 31'
Serie A Gameweek 4
Cagliari
Sep 15, 2024 5.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT Sardegna Arena
Napoli
  • Yerry Mina 75' yellowcard
  • goal Giovanni Di Lorenzo 18'
  • yellowcard Stanislav Lobotka 42'
  • yellowcard Romelu Lukaku 57'
  • goal Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 66'
  • goal Romelu Lukaku 70'
  • goal Alessandro Buongiorno 90'+3'
Serie A Gameweek 26
Cagliari
Feb 25, 2024 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Sardegna Arena
Napoli
  • Amir Rrahmani 32' goal
  • Gianluca Lapadula 36' yellowcard
  • Zito Luvumbo 48' yellowcard
  • Nahitan Nandez 68' yellowcard
  • Alessandro Deiola 86' yellowcard
  • Zito Luvumbo 90'+6' goal
  • goal Victor Osimhen 65'
  • yellowcard Mathias Olivera 90'+1'
Serie A Gameweek 16
Napoli
Dec 16, 2023 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Cagliari
  • Victor Osimhen 45' yellowcard
  • Amir Rrahmani 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Victor Osimhen 69' goal
  • Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 75' goal
  • Mario Rui 85' yellowcard
  • Matteo Politano 88' yellowcard
  • Andre-Frank Zambo Anguissa 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Edoardo Goldaniga 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Pavoletti 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Tommaso Augello 63'
  • goal Leonardo Pavoletti 72'

Form Data

Pisa 3 - 1 Cagliari
Cagliari 1 - 2 Como
Parma 1 - 1 Cagliari
Cagliari 0 - 0 Lazio
Cagliari 0 - 2 Lecce
Roma 2 - 0 Cagliari
Napoli 2 - 1 Lecce
Napoli 2 - 1 Torino
Hellas Verona 1 - 2 Napoli
Atalanta 2 - 1 Napoli
Napoli 2 - 2 Roma
Napoli 1 - 1 Como