Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 42.88%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 29.83% and a draw had a probability of 27.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.57%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Genoa win was 1-0 (8.73%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.