Serie A Gameweek 33
Apr 17, 2026 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore
  • Cristian Volpato 42' goal
  • M'Bala Nzola 44' goal
  • Alieu Fadera 64' yellowcard
  • Andrea Pinamonti 76' yellowcard
  • Luca Lipani 76' yellowcard
  • Luca Lipani 77' yellowcard
  • Andrea Pinamonti 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Máximo Perrone 46'
  • yellowcard Mërgim Vojvoda 46'
  • yellowcard 46'
  • yellowcard Anastasios Douvikas  46'
  • goal Nico Paz 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Jesús Rodríguez 60'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Kühn 72'

Sassuolo vs Como - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sassuolo

All competitions
Last game
Apr 12, 2026 11.30am
Genoa 2 - 1 Sassuolo
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Ismael Kone

Como

All competitions
Last game
Apr 12, 2026 7.45pm
Como 3 - 4 Inter Milan
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Nico Paz

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 47.83%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 26.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (10.04%) and 0-2 (8.59%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 1-0 (7.65%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result

Sassuolo 26.53% (-0.75)
Draw 25.64% (-0.72)
Como 47.83% (+1.51)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.29% (-0.14)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.09% (+0.74)
Under 1.5 25.91% (-0.74)
Over 2.5 49.55% (+0.83)
Under 2.5 50.45% (-0.80)
Over 3.5 27.05% (+0.27)
Under 3.5 72.95% (-0.27)
Over 4.5 14.81% (+0.24)
Under 4.5 85.19% (-0.24)

First Half Winner

Sassuolo 21.11% (-2.59)
Draw 44.11% (-0.54)
Como 34.78% (+3.13)

Team To Score First

Sassuolo 36.36% (-1.54)
No Goal 7.52% (-0.24)
Como 56.12% (+1.76)

Corners

Over 8 47.44% (-1.90)
Equal 8 12.7% (-0.14)
Under 8 39.86% (+2.02)
Over 9 35.5% (-1.61)
Equal 9 11.94% (-0.31)
Under 9 52.56% (+1.90)
Over 10.5 25.25% (-1.20)
Under 10.5 74.75% (+1.21)

Sassuolo Goals

Over 1.5 27.76% (-0.78)
Under 1.5 72.24% (+0.79)
Over 2.5 9.42% (-0.45)
Under 2.5 90.58% (+0.46)
Over 3.5 2.64% (-0.21)
Under 3.5 97.36% (+0.21)

Como Goals

Over 0.5 76.68% (+0.71)
Under 0.5 23.32% (-0.70)
Over 1.5 45.05% (+1.51)
Under 1.5 54.95% (-1.51)
Over 2.5 19.46% (+1.00)
Under 2.5 80.54% (-1.00)
Over 3.5 6.75% (+0.37)
Under 3.5 93.25% (-0.36)

Score analysis

Sassuolo 26.53%
Draw 25.64%
Como 47.82%
Sassuolo
1-0 @ 7.65% (-0.12)
2-1 @ 6.5% (-0.17)
2-0 @ 3.96% (-0.17)
3-1 @ 2.4% (-0.11)
3-2 @ 1.84% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 1.63% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.55% (-0.15)
Total : 26.53%
Draw
1-1 @ 12% (-0.20)
0-0 @ 7.52% (-0.24)
2-2 @ 5.12% (-0.14)
Other @ 0.09% (-0.08)
Total : 25.64%
Como
0-1 @ 10.73% (-0.35)
1-2 @ 10.04% (+0.43)
0-2 @ 8.59% (+0.27)
1-3 @ 4.72% (+0.28)
0-3 @ 4.32% (+0.31)
2-3 @ 2.76% (+0.14)
Other @ 6.66% (+0.43)
Total : 47.82%

Head to Head

Serie A
Nov 28, 2025 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Anastasios Douvikas 14' goal
  • Maxence Caqueret 48' yellowcard
  • Alberto Moreno 53' goal
  • Jacobo Ramon Naveros 73' yellowcard
  • Jacobo Ramon Naveros 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ismael Kone 37'
Coppa Italia
Sep 24, 2025 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT