Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 36.37%. A win for Pisa had a probability of 33.9% and a draw had a probability of 29.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.69%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Pisa win was 1-0 (12.01%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.