/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmillog_1.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fcaglog.png)
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Alexis Saelemaekers
2'
-
Christian Pulisic
46'
-
Zachary Athekame
61'
-
Niclas Füllkrug
61'
-
61'
-
Zachary Athekame
62'
-
Niclas Füllkrug
62'
-
Luka Modrić
62'
-
62'
-
Rafael Leão
68'
-
Gennaro Borrelli
20'
-
Juan Rodríguez
57'
-
62'
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Alberto Dossena
62'
-
Marco Palestra
63'
-
Paul Mendy
74'
-
Ibrahim Sulemana
74'
-
Mattia Felici
90'+5'
AC Milan vs Cagliari - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 63.16%. A draw had a probability of 22.02% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 14.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12%) and 2-1 (10.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.19%) , while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (5.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
Result
AC Milan
63.16%
▲
(+0.16)
Draw
22.02%
▼
(-0.02)
Cagliari
14.85%
▼
(-0.13)
Both Teams to Score:
46.15%
▼
(-0.10)
Goals
Over 1.5
73.46%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 1.5
26.54%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 2.5
49.29%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 2.5
50.71%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 3.5
27%
▼
(-0.22)
Under 3.5
73%
▲
(+0.21)
Over 4.5
16.52%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 4.5
83.48%
▲
(+0.10)
First Half Winner
AC Milan
43.46%
▼
(-0.08)
Draw
41.96%
▲
(+0.22)
Cagliari
14.58%
▼
(-0.14)
Team To Score First
AC Milan
64.34%
▼
(-0.61)
No Goal
7.52%
▲
(+0.04)
Cagliari
28.14%
▲
(+0.58)
Corners
Over 8
54.72%
▲
(+0.54)
Equal 8
11.88%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 8
33.4%
▼
(-0.58)
Over 9
42.89%
▲
(+0.42)
Equal 9
11.82%
▲
(+0.10)
Under 9
45.28%
▼
(-0.54)
Over 10.5
32.1%
▲
(+0.29)
Under 10.5
67.89%
▼
(-0.30)
AC Milan Goals
Over 1.5
54.93%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 1.5
45.07%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 2.5
27.95%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 2.5
72.05%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 3.5
11.53%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 3.5
88.47%
▼
(-0.05)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5
47.86%
▼
(-0.24)
Under 0.5
52.14%
▲
(+0.24)
Over 1.5
16.27%
▼
(-0.20)
Under 1.5
83.73%
▲
(+0.19)
Over 2.5
4.04%
▼
(-0.17)
Under 2.5
95.96%
▲
(+0.16)
Over 3.5
0.77%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 3.5
99.23%
▲
(+0.07)
Score analysis
AC Milan
63.15%
Draw
22.02%
Cagliari
14.84%
AC Milan
1-0
@
13.58%
▲
(+0.06)
2-0 @ 12% ▼ (-0.04)
2-1 @ 10.26%
3-0 @ 7.54% ▲ (+0.13)
3-1 @ 5.69% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 2.57%
Other @ 11.51% ▲ (+0.07)
Total : 63.15%
2-0 @ 12% ▼ (-0.04)
2-1 @ 10.26%
3-0 @ 7.54% ▲ (+0.13)
3-1 @ 5.69% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 2.57%
Other @ 11.51% ▲ (+0.07)
Total : 63.15%
Draw
1-1
@
10.19%
▲
(+0.05)
0-0 @ 7.52% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 3.67% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.02% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 22.02%
0-0 @ 7.52% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 3.67% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.02% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 22.02%
Cagliari
0-1
@
5.45%
▼
(-0.04)
1-2 @ 4% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.99% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.75% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 14.84%
1-2 @ 4% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.99% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.75% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 14.84%