Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 41.08%. A win for Torino had a probability of 31.68% and a draw had a probability of 27.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Torino win was 0-1 (9.01%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.