Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 50.94%. A draw had a probability of 26.07% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 22.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%) , while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (7.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.