Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 40.27%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 32.23% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 0-1 (9.84%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.