Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 73.12%. A draw had a probability of 18.04% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 8.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.68%) and 3-0 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.15%) , while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (3.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.