Serie A Gameweek 33
Apr 17, 2026 7.45pm
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Inter Milan vs Cagliari - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Milan

All competitions
Last game
Apr 5, 2026 7.45pm
Inter Milan 5 - 2 Roma
Goals scored
71
Top scorer
Lautaro Martinez

Cagliari

All competitions
Last game
Apr 11, 2026 2.00pm
Cagliari 1 - 0 Cremonese
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Sebastiano Esposito

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Inter Milan win with a probability of 72.84%. A draw has a probability of 17.99% and a win for Cagliari has a probability of 9.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (13.64%) and 3-0 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.9%) , while for a Cagliari win it is 0-1 (3.57%).

Result

Inter Milan 72.84%
Draw 17.99%
Cagliari 9.15%

Both Teams to Score: 

42.55%

Goals

Over 1.5 76.18%
Under 1.5 23.82%
Over 2.5 53.56%
Under 2.5 46.44%
Over 3.5 32.15%
Under 3.5 67.85%
Over 4.5 22.18%
Under 4.5 77.82%

First Half Winner

Inter Milan 53.4%
Draw 33.33%
Cagliari 13.27%

Team To Score First

Inter Milan 72.35%
No Goal 6.59%
Cagliari 21.06%

Corners

Over 8 53.5%
Equal 8 11.58%
Under 8 34.92%
Over 9 42.08%
Equal 9 11.41%
Under 9 46.5%
Over 10.5 31.73%
Under 10.5 68.27%

Inter Milan Goals

Over 1.5 63.41%
Under 1.5 36.59%
Over 2.5 37.17%
Under 2.5 62.83%
Over 3.5 18%
Under 3.5 82%

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5 38.31%
Under 0.5 61.69%
Over 1.5 11.54%
Under 1.5 88.46%
Over 2.5 2.59%
Under 2.5 97.41%
Over 3.5 0.54%
Under 3.5 99.46%

Score analysis

Inter Milan 72.84%
Draw 17.99%
Cagliari 9.15%
Inter Milan
1-0 @ 13.64%
2-0 @ 13.64%
3-0 @ 9.83%
2-1 @ 8.92%
3-1 @ 6.38%
3-2 @ 2.46%
Other @ 17.97%
Total : 72.84%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.9%
0-0 @ 6.59%
2-2 @ 2.97%
Other @ 0.03%
Total : 17.99%
Cagliari
0-1 @ 3.57%
1-2 @ 2.44%
0-2 @ 1.08%
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 9.15%

Head to Head

Serie A European Under-21s Championship
Sep 27, 2025 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Serie A Gameweek 32
Apr 12, 2025 5.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Marko Arnautovic 13' goal
  • Lautaro Martinez 26' goal
  • Yann Aurel Bisseck 55' goal
  • goal Roberto Piccoli 48'
  • yellowcard Alessandro Deiola 69'
Serie A Gameweek 18
Dec 28, 2024 5.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT Sardegna Arena
  • goal Alessandro Bastoni 53'
  • goal Lautaro Martinez 71'
  • goal Hakan Calhanoglu 78'
Serie A Gameweek 32
Apr 14, 2024 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Marcus Thuram 12' goal
  • Hakan Calhanoglu 74' goal
  • yellowcard Matteo Prati 40'
  • goal Eldor Shomurodov 64'
  • yellowcard Yerry Mina 73'
  • goal Nicolas Viola 83'
Serie A Gameweek 2
Aug 28, 2023 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Sardegna Arena
  • Zito Luvumbo 83' yellowcard
  • goal Denzel Dumfries 21'
  • goal Lautaro Martinez 30'
  • yellowcard Henrikh Mkhitaryan 81'
Serie A Gameweek 37
May 15, 2022 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Charalampos Lykogiannis 54' goal
  • goal Matteo Darmian 25'
  • yellowcard Matteo Darmian 37'
  • goal Lautaro Martinez 51'
  • goal Lautaro Martinez 84'
  • yellowcard Hakan Calhanoglu 87'