Serie A Gameweek 33
Apr 17, 2026 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Marcus Thuram 52' goal
  • Nicolò Barella 56' goal
  • Ange-Yoan Bonny 76' yellowcard
  • Luis Henrique 76' yellowcard
  • 76' yellowcard
  • Piotr Zieliński 76' yellowcard
  • Davide Frattesi 85' yellowcard
  • Andy Diouf 89' yellowcard
  • Piotr Zieliński 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Alessandro Deiola 57'
  • yellowcard Paul Mendy 57'
  • yellowcard 76'
  • yellowcard Michael Folorunsho 76'
  • yellowcard Gabriele Zappa 76'
  • yellowcard Gabriele Zappa 77'
  • yellowcard Andrea Belotti 87'
  • yellowcard Andrea Belotti 88'

Inter Milan vs Cagliari - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Milan

All competitions
Last game
Apr 12, 2026 7.45pm
Como 3 - 4 Inter Milan
Goals scored
78
Top scorer
Lautaro Martinez

Cagliari

All competitions
Last game
Apr 11, 2026 2.00pm
Cagliari 1 - 0 Cremonese
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Sebastiano Esposito

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 73.12%. A draw had a probability of 18.04% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 8.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.68%) and 3-0 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.15%) , while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (3.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result

Inter Milan 73.12% (+0.35)
Draw 18.04% (+0.12)
Cagliari 8.82% (-0.47)

Both Teams to Score: 

41.28% (-1.69)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.07% (-0.53)
Under 1.5 23.93% (+0.52)
Over 2.5 53.16% (-0.80)
Under 2.5 46.84% (+0.80)
Over 3.5 31.62% (-0.49)
Under 3.5 68.38% (+0.49)
Over 4.5 21.76% (-0.32)
Under 4.5 78.24% (+0.32)

First Half Winner

Inter Milan 56.98% (+3.56)
Draw 32.7% (-0.63)
Cagliari 10.32% (-2.93)

Team To Score First

Inter Milan 75.08% (+2.58)
No Goal 6.55% (+0.17)
Cagliari 18.37% (-2.74)

Corners

Over 8 54.56% (+0.91)
Equal 8 11.86% (+0.21)
Under 8 33.58% (-1.13)
Over 9 42.78% (+0.61)
Equal 9 11.78% (+0.29)
Under 9 45.44% (-0.91)
Over 10.5 32.04% (+0.31)
Under 10.5 67.96% (-0.31)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 1.5 63.32% (-0.25)
Under 1.5 36.68% (+0.25)
Over 2.5 37.19% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 62.81% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 17.78% (-0.20)
Under 3.5 82.22% (+0.21)

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5 38.32% (-0.47)
Under 0.5 61.68% (+0.47)
Over 1.5 11.06% (-0.61)
Under 1.5 88.94% (+0.61)
Over 2.5 2.15% (-0.42)
Under 2.5 97.85% (+0.41)
Over 3.5 0.39% (-0.10)
Under 3.5 99.61% (+0.10)

Score analysis

Inter Milan 73.12%
Draw 18.04%
Cagliari 8.81%
Inter Milan
1-0 @ 13.74% (+0.33)
2-0 @ 13.68% (+0.13)
3-0 @ 9.91% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 9% (-0.11)
3-1 @ 6.5% (+0.09)
3-2 @ 2.52% (+0.07)
Other @ 17.77% (-0.20)
Total : 73.12%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.15% (+0.15)
0-0 @ 6.55% (+0.17)
2-2 @ 2.85% (-0.15)
Other @ 0.01% (-0.01)
Total : 18.04%
Cagliari
0-1 @ 3.61% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 2.46% (-0.11)
0-2 @ 1.08% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.38% (-0.09)
Total : 8.81%

Head to Head

Serie A European Under-21s Championship
Sep 27, 2025 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Serie A Gameweek 32
Apr 12, 2025 5.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Marko Arnautovic 13' goal
  • Lautaro Martinez 26' goal
  • Yann Aurel Bisseck 55' goal
  • goal Roberto Piccoli 48'
  • yellowcard Alessandro Deiola 69'
Serie A Gameweek 18
Dec 28, 2024 5.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT Sardegna Arena
  • goal Alessandro Bastoni 53'
  • goal Lautaro Martinez 71'
  • goal Hakan Calhanoglu 78'
Serie A Gameweek 32
Apr 14, 2024 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Marcus Thuram 12' goal
  • Hakan Calhanoglu 74' goal
  • yellowcard Matteo Prati 40'
  • goal Eldor Shomurodov 64'
  • yellowcard Yerry Mina 73'
  • goal Nicolas Viola 83'
Serie A Gameweek 2
Aug 28, 2023 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Sardegna Arena
  • Zito Luvumbo 83' yellowcard
  • goal Denzel Dumfries 21'
  • goal Lautaro Martinez 30'
  • yellowcard Henrikh Mkhitaryan 81'
Serie A Gameweek 37
May 15, 2022 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Charalampos Lykogiannis 54' goal
  • goal Matteo Darmian 25'
  • yellowcard Matteo Darmian 37'
  • goal Lautaro Martinez 51'
  • goal Lautaro Martinez 84'
  • yellowcard Hakan Calhanoglu 87'