Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 39.1%. A win for Roma had a probability of 33.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Roma win was 0-1 (9.79%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.