Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 50.71%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 24.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.06%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 0-1 (6.51%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.