Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 36.67%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 36.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (5.8%). The likeliest Udinese win was 0-1 (9.08%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.