Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 36.98%. A win for Parma had a probability of 34.03% and a draw had a probability of 28.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.82%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Parma win was 0-1 (11.3%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.