Premier League Gameweek 38
May 24, 2026 4.00pm
Stadium of Light

Sunderland vs Chelsea - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Sunderland

All competitions
Last game
May 17, 2026 3.00pm
Everton 1 - 3 Sunderland
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Brian Brobbey

Chelsea

All competitions
Last game
May 19, 2026 8.15pm
Chelsea 2 - 1 Spurs
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Joao Pedro

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chelsea win with a probability of 43.59%. A win for Sunderland has a probability of 30.03% and a draw has a probability of 26.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Sunderland win is 1-0 (7.53%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.87%).

Result

Sunderland 30.03%
Draw 26.38%
Chelsea 43.59%

Both Teams to Score: 

55.64%

Goals

Over 1.5 76.2% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 23.8% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 52.99%
Under 2.5 47.01%
Over 3.5 31.27%
Under 3.5 68.73%
Over 4.5 17.49%
Under 4.5 82.51%

First Half Winner

Sunderland 23.13% (+0.01)
Draw 41.7%
Chelsea 35.16% (-0.03)

Team To Score First

Sunderland 37.77%
No Goal 6.83% (+0.01)
Chelsea 55.4% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 58.19%
Equal 8 11.54%
Under 8 30.28%
Over 9 46.42%
Equal 9 11.77%
Under 9 41.81%
Over 10.5 35.42%
Under 10.5 64.58%

Sunderland Goals

Over 1.5 33.15%
Under 1.5 66.85%
Over 2.5 12.6%
Under 2.5 87.4%
Over 3.5 3.8%
Under 3.5 96.2%

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5 75.78% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 24.22% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 44.18%
Under 1.5 55.82%
Over 2.5 20.09%
Under 2.5 79.91%
Over 3.5 7.29%
Under 3.5 92.71%

Score analysis

Sunderland 30.02%
Draw 26.38%
Chelsea 43.59%
Sunderland
1-0 @ 7.53%
2-1 @ 7.21%
2-0 @ 4.58%
3-1 @ 3.09%
3-2 @ 2.34%
3-0 @ 1.88%
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 30.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.87% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 6.83% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.78%
3-3 @ 1.49%
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 26.38%
Chelsea
0-1 @ 9.43% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 9.21%
0-2 @ 6.76%
1-3 @ 4.91%
0-3 @ 3.42%
2-3 @ 2.98%
Other @ 6.88%
Total : 43.59%

Head to Head

Premier League
Oct 25, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Premier League
May 21, 2017 3.00pm
5
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Willian 8' goal
  • Diego Costa 38' yellowcard
  • Eden Hazard 61' goal
  • Pedro 77' goal
  • Michy Batshuayi 90' goal
  • Michy Batshuayi 92' goal
  • goal Javier Manquillo 3'
  • yellowcard Billy Jones 48'
Premier League
Dec 14, 2016 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Jermain Defoe 43' yellowcard
  • John O'Shea 45' yellowcard
  • Fabio Borini 72' yellowcard
  • goal Cesc Fabregas 40'
  • yellowcard Pedro 56'
  • yellowcard Victor Moses 92'
Premier League
May 7, 2016 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Wahbi Khazri 41' goal
  • Lee Cattermole 52' yellowcard
  • Fabio Borini 67' goal
  • Jermain Defoe 70' goal
  • Jermain Defoe 70' yellowcard
  • Younes Kaboul 87' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Larsson 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gary Cahill 1'
  • goal Diego Costa 14'
  • goal Nemanja Matic 45'
  • yellowcard John Terry 87'
  • redcard John Terry 94'
Premier League
Dec 19, 2015 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Branislav Ivanovic 5' goal
  • Pedro 13' goal
  • Oscar 50' goal
  • Nemanja Matic 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Costel Pantilimon 48'
  • goal Fabio Borini 53'
  • yellowcard Jack Rodwell 62'
  • yellowcard John O'Shea 89'
Premier League
May 24, 2015 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Diego Costa 36' goal
  • Juan Cuadrado 42' yellowcard
  • Loic Remy 70' goal
  • Nemanja Matic 82' yellowcard
  • Loic Remy 88' goal
  • goal Steven Fletcher 26'
  • yellowcard Jack Rodwell 32'

Build-up

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