League One
Aug 15, 2026 12.30pm
3
4
HT : 3 1
FT Select Car Leasing Stadium
  • Jack Marriott 8' goal
  • Jack Marriott 31' goal
  • Jack Marriott 38' goal
  • Paudie O'Connor 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal J. Richards 6'
  • yellowcard Jack Wilshere 39'
  • goal Kasey Palmer 50'
  • goal Kasey Palmer 52'
  • yellowcard Liam Walsh 72'
  • goal Gideon Kodua 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Gideon Kodua 90'+7'

Reading vs Luton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Reading

All competitions
Last game
May 2, 2026 3.00pm
Reading 0 - 1 Blackpool

Luton Town

All competitions
Last game
May 2, 2026 3.00pm
Bolton 2 - 3 Luton

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 49.19%. A win for Reading had a probability of 26.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.34%) and 0-2 (8.17%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (6.59%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%).

Result

Reading 26.28% ▼ (-0.03)
Draw 24.53%
Luton Town 49.19% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.15% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.95% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 23.05% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 53.87% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 46.13% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 3.5 31.2% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 68.8% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 18.35% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 4.5 81.65% ▼ (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Reading 17.24%
Draw 40.08%
Luton Town 42.68%

Team To Score First

Reading 31.94%
No Goal 6.46% ▲ (+0.01)
Luton Town 61.6% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 65.97%
Equal 8 10.88%
Under 8 23.15%
Over 9 54.07% ▼ (-0.01)
Equal 9 11.89%
Under 9 34.03%
Over 10.5 42.26%
Under 10.5 57.74%

Reading Goals

Over 1.5 29.55% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 70.45% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 11.07% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 88.93% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 3.4% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 96.6% ▼ (-0.02)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5 78.17% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 0.5 21.83% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 1.5 48.2% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 51.8% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 23.32% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 2.5 76.68% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 9.24% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 90.76% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Reading 26.28%
Draw 24.53%
Luton Town 49.19%
Reading
1-0 @ 6.59% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 6.37%
2-0 @ 3.89%
3-1 @ 2.58%
3-2 @ 1.96%
3-0 @ 1.84%
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 26.28%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.02% ▼ (-0.04)
0-0 @ 6.46% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.41% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.29% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.35% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 24.53%
Luton Town
0-1 @ 10%
1-2 @ 9.34%
0-2 @ 8.17% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 5.13% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.85%
2-3 @ 2.81% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 8.89% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 49.19%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 36
Mar 7, 2026 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT Kenilworth Road Stadium
  • Nigel Cello Lonwijk 45'+3' goal
  • George Alan Saville 53' goal
  • Nahki Wells 66' yellowcard
  • Liam Walsh 66' yellowcard
  • Cohen Bramall 78' yellowcard
  • Gideon Kodua 78' yellowcard
  • Shayden Morris 88' yellowcard
  • goal Kelvin Ehibhatiomhan 5'
  • yellowcard Sean Patton 61'
  • yellowcard Paddy Lane 72'
  • yellowcard Matt Ritchie 72'
  • goal Kelvin Ehibhatiomhan 81'
  • goal Kelvin Ehibhatiomhan 84'
  • yellowcard Finley Burns 90'+4'
League One
Dec 18, 2025 8.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Lewis Wing 8' goal
  • Jack Marriott 52' goal
  • Andy Yiadom 72' yellowcard
  • Kelvin Ehibhaimha 78' goal
  • Kelvin Ehibhaimha 90' yellowcard
  • goal Jordan Clark 59'
  • goal Nigel Lonwijk 76'
  • yellowcard Jacob Brown 77'
Championship Gameweek 43
Apr 19, 2023 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Select Car Leasing Stadium
  • Andy Carroll 51' goal
  • goal Carlton Morris 80'
Championship Gameweek 19
Nov 1, 2022 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Kenilworth Road Stadium
Championship Gameweek 46
May 7, 2022 12.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Harry Cornick 45'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Baba Rahman 41'
Championship Gameweek 23
Jan 19, 2022 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Danny Drinkwater 90' yellowcard
  • Lucas Joao 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Tom Holmes 33' (OG)
  • goal Allan Campbell 58'