League One Gameweek 1
Aug 15, 2026 12.30pm
Select Car Leasing Stadium

Reading vs Luton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Reading

All competitions
Last game
May 2, 2026 3.00pm
Reading 0 - 1 Blackpool

Luton Town

All competitions
Last game
May 2, 2026 3.00pm
Bolton 2 - 3 Luton

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Luton Town win with a probability of 49.13%. A win for Reading has a probability of 26.34% and a draw has a probability of 24.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (8.16%). The likeliest Reading win is 1-0 (6.61%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.05%).

Result

Reading 26.34% (-0.04)
Draw 24.54% (-0.07)
Luton Town 49.13% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.12% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.91%
Under 1.5 23.09%
Over 2.5 53.81% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 46.19% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 31.17% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 68.83% (-0.08)
Over 4.5 18.33% (+0.05)
Under 4.5 81.67% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Reading 17.24%
Draw 40.08%
Luton Town 42.68%

Team To Score First

Reading 31.94% (+0.02)
No Goal 6.46% (-0.04)
Luton Town 61.6% (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 66.05% (+0.08)
Equal 8 10.88%
Under 8 23.08% (-0.08)
Over 9 54.15% (+0.08)
Equal 9 11.9% (+0.01)
Under 9 33.95% (-0.08)
Over 10.5 42.32% (+0.07)
Under 10.5 57.68% (-0.07)

Reading Goals

Over 1.5 29.55% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 70.45% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 11.08% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 88.92% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3.4% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 96.6% (+0.01)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5 78.12%
Under 0.5 21.88%
Over 1.5 48.1% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 51.9% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 23.26% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 76.74% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 9.22% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 90.78% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Reading 26.33%
Draw 24.54%
Luton Town 49.12%
Reading
1-0 @ 6.61% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 6.37% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 3.9% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 2.59% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.96% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1.84% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 26.33%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.05% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 6.46% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.4%
3-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 0.34% (-0.01)
Total : 24.54%
Luton Town
0-1 @ 10.01% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 9.32% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 8.16%
0-3 @ 5.11%
1-3 @ 4.84% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.8% (+0.01)
Other @ 8.88% (+0.05)
Total : 49.12%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 36
Mar 7, 2026 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT Kenilworth Road Stadium
  • Nigel Cello Lonwijk 45'+3' goal
  • George Alan Saville 53' goal
  • Nahki Wells 66' yellowcard
  • Liam Walsh 66' yellowcard
  • Cohen Bramall 78' yellowcard
  • Gideon Kodua 78' yellowcard
  • Shayden Morris 88' yellowcard
  • goal Kelvin Ehibhatiomhan 5'
  • yellowcard Sean Patton 61'
  • yellowcard Paddy Lane 72'
  • yellowcard Matt Ritchie 72'
  • goal Kelvin Ehibhatiomhan 81'
  • goal Kelvin Ehibhatiomhan 84'
  • yellowcard Finley Burns 90'+4'
League One
Dec 18, 2025 8.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Lewis Wing 8' goal
  • Jack Marriott 52' goal
  • Andy Yiadom 72' yellowcard
  • Kelvin Ehibhaimha 78' goal
  • Kelvin Ehibhaimha 90' yellowcard
  • goal Jordan Clark 59'
  • goal Nigel Lonwijk 76'
  • yellowcard Jacob Brown 77'
Championship Gameweek 43
Apr 19, 2023 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Select Car Leasing Stadium
  • Andy Carroll 51' goal
  • goal Carlton Morris 80'
Championship Gameweek 19
Nov 1, 2022 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Kenilworth Road Stadium
Championship Gameweek 46
May 7, 2022 12.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Harry Cornick 45'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Baba Rahman 41'
Championship Gameweek 23
Jan 19, 2022 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Danny Drinkwater 90' yellowcard
  • Lucas Joao 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Tom Holmes 33' (OG)
  • goal Allan Campbell 58'