Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 38.7%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 34.74% and a draw had a probability of 26.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 1-0 (10.36%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.