Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 48.35%. A win for Reading had a probability of 25.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (8.11%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (8.89%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.