Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 45.48%. A win for Reading had a probability of 28.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Reading win was 0-1 (7.65%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.