League One Gameweek 43
Apr 11, 2026 3.00pm
The Keepmoat Stadium

Doncaster Rovers vs Reading - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Doncaster Rovers

All competitions
Last game
Apr 6, 2026 3.00pm
Exeter 3 - 0 Doncaster
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Owen Bailey

Reading

All competitions
Last game
Apr 6, 2026 3.00pm
Reading 1 - 2 Lincoln
Goals scored
62
Top scorer
Jack Marriott

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 45.47%. A win for Reading has a probability of 28.72% and a draw has a probability of 25.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Reading win is 0-1 (7.64%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.99%).

Result

Doncaster Rovers 45.47% (-0.01)
Draw 25.81%
Reading 28.72%

Both Teams to Score: 

54.73% (-0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.33% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 24.67% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 51.46% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 48.54% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 29.28% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 70.72% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 16.09% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 83.91% (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Doncaster Rovers 32.22%
Draw 42.89%
Reading 24.89%

Team To Score First

Doncaster Rovers 51.45% (+0.02)
No Goal 6.76% (-0.01)
Reading 41.79%

Corners

Over 8 59.1% (+0.11)
Equal 8 11.52%
Under 8 29.38% (-0.11)
Over 9 47.24% (+0.11)
Equal 9 11.86%
Under 9 40.9% (-0.11)
Over 10.5 36.05% (+0.08)
Under 10.5 63.95% (-0.08)

Doncaster Rovers Goals

Over 1.5 44.39% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 55.61% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 19.65% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 80.35% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 6.89%
Under 3.5 93.11%

Reading Goals

Over 0.5 64.78% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 35.22% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 30.97% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 69.03% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 11.03% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 88.97% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3.22%
Under 3.5 96.78%

Score analysis

Doncaster Rovers 45.47%
Draw 25.82%
Reading 28.71%
Doncaster Rovers
1-0 @ 10.27% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 9.37% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 7.61% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.81%
3-0 @ 3.89% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.83%
Other @ 6.69%
Total : 45.47%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.99% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 6.76% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.64%
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 25.82%
Reading
0-1 @ 7.64%
1-2 @ 7.19% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.28%
1-3 @ 2.73%
2-3 @ 2.12%
0-3 @ 1.73% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 28.71%

Head to Head

League One
Oct 25, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Championship
Apr 26, 2014 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 0
FT
  • James Coppinger 25' goal
  • goal Adam Le Fondre 63'
  • goal Pavel Pogrebnyak 86'
  • goal Pavel Pogrebnyak 90'
Championship
Oct 19, 2013 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Danny Guthrie 11' goal
  • Adam Le Fondre 39' goal
  • Chris Baird 69' yellowcard
  • Garath McCleary 80' goal
  • Pavel Pogrebynak 90' goal
  • goal Theo Robinson 31'
  • yellowcard Richie Wellens 85'
Championship
Mar 13, 2012 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Kyle Bennett 27' goal
  • Habib Beye 60' yellowcard
  • El Hadji Diouf 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jem Karacan 45'
  • goal Alex Pearce 51'
  • yellowcard Noel Hunt 53'
  • yellowcard Kaspars Gorkss 56'
Championship
Sep 17, 2011 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Simon Church 52' goal
  • Adam Le Fondre 59' goal
  • yellowcard James Hayter 83'
Championship
Jan 15, 2011 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Shane Long 29'
  • goal Jimmy Kebe 67'
  • goal Jobi McAnuff 74'