League One Gameweek 42
Apr 6, 2026 3.00pm
St James Park

Exeter City vs Doncaster Rovers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions
Last game
Apr 3, 2026 3.00pm
Blackpool 1 - 0 Exeter
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Jayden Wareham

Doncaster Rovers

All competitions
Last game
Apr 3, 2026 12.30pm
Doncaster 0 - 2 Mansfield
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Owen Bailey

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 38.31%. A win for Exeter City has a probability of 34.43% and a draw has a probability of 27.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Exeter City win is 1-0 (9.83%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.7%).

Result

Exeter City 34.43% (+0.41)
Draw 27.19% (-0.17)
Doncaster Rovers 38.31% (-0.33)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.44% (-0.50)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.24% (-0.29)
Under 1.5 28.76% (+0.29)
Over 2.5 46.08% (-0.29)
Under 2.5 53.92% (+0.29)
Over 3.5 24.72% (-0.21)
Under 3.5 75.28% (+0.21)
Over 4.5 12.95% (-0.20)
Under 4.5 87.05% (+0.19)

First Half Winner

Exeter City 25.45% (-0.18)
Draw 43.62% (+0.18)
Doncaster Rovers 30.93% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Exeter City 41.25% (+0.14)
No Goal 8.39% (+0.07)
Doncaster Rovers 50.36% (-0.19)

Corners

Over 8 61.97% (+1.65)
Equal 8 11.24% (+0.13)
Under 8 26.8% (-1.75)
Over 9 50.12% (+1.35)
Equal 9 11.85% (+0.29)
Under 9 38.03% (-1.65)
Over 10.5 38.69% (+0.95)
Under 10.5 61.31% (-0.95)

Exeter City Goals

Over 1.5 32.95% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 67.05% (-0.10)
Over 2.5 12.05% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 87.95% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 3.54%
Under 3.5 96.46%

Doncaster Rovers Goals

Over 0.5 70.14% (-0.40)
Under 0.5 29.86% (+0.40)
Over 1.5 36.01% (-0.40)
Under 1.5 63.99% (+0.40)
Over 2.5 13.79% (-0.38)
Under 2.5 86.21% (+0.37)
Over 3.5 4.24% (-0.19)
Under 3.5 95.76% (+0.20)

Score analysis

Exeter City 34.44%
Draw 27.19%
Doncaster Rovers 38.3%
Exeter City
1-0 @ 9.83% (+0.17)
2-1 @ 7.78% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 5.83% (+0.09)
3-1 @ 3.18% (+0.11)
3-0 @ 2.3% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.08% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.44% (+0.03)
Total : 34.44%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.7% (-0.12)
0-0 @ 8.39% (+0.07)
2-2 @ 5.05% (-0.09)
Other @ 0.1% (-0.02)
Total : 27.19%
Doncaster Rovers
0-1 @ 10.47% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 8.46% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 6.63% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 3.55% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.81% (-0.13)
2-3 @ 2.24% (-0.04)
Other @ 4.14% (-0.17)
Total : 38.3%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 1
Aug 2, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
League Two
Apr 29, 2017 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT
  • James Coppinger 26' goal
  • Andy Butler 56' yellowcard
  • Luke McCullough 58' yellowcard
  • Joe Wright 59' yellowcard
  • Niall Mason 91' yellowcard
  • goal Jordan Moore-Taylor 16'
  • goal David Wheeler 61'
  • goal Liam McAlinden 86'
League Two
Nov 12, 2016 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Reuben Reid 51' goal
  • yellowcard Marko Marosi 50'
  • yellowcard Mathieu Baudry 53'
  • goal Liam Mandeville 72'
  • yellowcard Tommy Rowe 74'
  • goal John Marquis 77'
  • goal John Marquis 90'
  • yellowcard Liam Mandeville 92'