Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 39.04%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 33.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (9.7%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.