League One Gameweek 40
Mar 28, 2026 3.00pm
St James Park

Exeter City vs Leyton Orient - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 3.00pm
Wigan 2 - 0 Exeter
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Jayden Wareham

Leyton Orient

All competitions
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 3.00pm
Leyton Orient 2 - 0 Wycombe
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Dominic Ballard

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 38.39%. A win for Exeter City has a probability of 36.39% and a draw has a probability of 25.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.02%) and 0-2 (5.71%). The likeliest Exeter City win is 2-1 (8.25%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.52%).

Result

Exeter City 36.39% (+0.08)
Draw 25.23%
Leyton Orient 38.39% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.35% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.47% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 21.53% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 55.87% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 44.13% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 33.26% (+0.12)
Under 3.5 66.74% (-0.13)
Over 4.5 19.19% (+0.09)
Under 4.5 80.81% (-0.10)

First Half Winner

Exeter City 27.81%
Draw 41.8%
Leyton Orient 30.4%

Team To Score First

Exeter City 46.27% (+0.02)
No Goal 5.76% (-0.01)
Leyton Orient 47.97%

Corners

Over 8 60.33% (-0.50)
Equal 8 11.32% (-0.02)
Under 8 28.35% (+0.52)
Over 9 48.56% (-0.42)
Equal 9 11.77% (-0.09)
Under 9 39.67% (+0.50)
Over 10.5 37.34% (-0.32)
Under 10.5 62.66% (+0.32)

Exeter City Goals

Over 1.5 39.55% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 60.45% (-0.10)
Over 2.5 16.79% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 83.21% (-0.09)
Over 3.5 5.87% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 94.13% (-0.05)

Leyton Orient Goals

Over 0.5 72.83%
Under 0.5 27.17%
Over 1.5 41.16% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 58.84% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 17.76% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 82.24% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 6.29% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 93.71% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Exeter City 36.39%
Draw 25.22%
Leyton Orient 38.4%
Exeter City
2-1 @ 8.25% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.76%
2-0 @ 5.36% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.88% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.84% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.71%
Other @ 5.59% (+0.05)
Total : 36.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.52% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 6.17% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.76% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.49% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 25.22%
Leyton Orient
1-2 @ 8.68% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 8.02% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.71% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.02%
0-3 @ 2.98% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.98% (+0.01)
Other @ 6.01% (+0.02)
Total : 38.4%

Head to Head

League One
Nov 15, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
League One Gameweek 29
Jan 28, 2025 7.45pm
2
6
HT : 0 4
FT St James Park
  • Millenic Alli 47' goal
  • Millenic Alli 56' goal
  • goal Azeem Abdulai 5'
  • goal Azeem Abdulai 7'
  • goal Sean Clare 14'
  • yellowcard Ethan Galbraith 26'
  • goal Dilan Markanday 34'
  • yellowcard Omar Beckles 52'
  • yellowcard Josh Keeley 60'
  • goal Azeem Abdulai 64'
  • goal Jamie Donley 78'
  • yellowcard Brandon Cooper 90'+1'
League One Gameweek 9
Oct 1, 2024 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Brisbane Road
  • Dominic Ball 53' yellowcard
  • Jordan Brown 77' yellowcard
  • goal Amani Richards 40'
  • yellowcard Ilmari Niskanen 44'
  • yellowcard Gary Caldwell 45'
  • yellowcard Jack McMillan 48'
  • yellowcard Pierce Sweeney 89'
  • redcard Caleb Watts 90'+3'
League One Gameweek 40
Apr 9, 2024 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Brisbane Road
  • Oliver O'Neill 36' goal
  • George Moncur 64' goal
  • goal Millenic Alli 88'
  • goal Tom Carroll 90'+2'
League One Gameweek 7
Sep 9, 2023 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT St James Park
  • Demetri Mitchell 48' goal
  • Pedro Borges 90' yellowcard
  • Mitch Beardmore 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Reece Cole 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Theo Archibald 45'+2'
  • goal Joe Pigott 55'
  • yellowcard Darren Pratley 59'
  • goal Ruel Sotiriou 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Ruel Sotiriou 90'+3'
League Two Gameweek 31
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Timothee Dieng 54' yellowcard
  • Jevani Brown 81' yellowcard
  • Cheick Diabate 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Adam Thompson 24'
  • yellowcard Darren Pratley 75'
  • yellowcard Omar Beckles 90'+1'