League One Gameweek 40
Exeter
Mar 28, 2026 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT St James Park
Leyton Orient
  • J. Yfeko 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Ethan Brierley 61' yellowcard
  • Akeel Higgins 61' yellowcard
  • J. Aitchison 80' yellowcard
  • Ryan Rydel 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Michael Craig 18'
  • yellowcard Daniel Happe 46'
  • yellowcard Ollie O'Neill 67'

Exeter City vs Leyton Orient - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 3.00pm
Wigan 2 - 0 Exeter
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Jayden Wareham

Leyton Orient

All competitions
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 3.00pm
Leyton Orient 2 - 0 Wycombe
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Dominic Ballard

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 38.35%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 36.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.01%) and 0-2 (5.71%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 2-1 (8.24%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result

Exeter City 36.42% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 25.23%
Leyton Orient 38.35% ▼ (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.32% ▼ (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.47% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 21.53% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 55.87% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 44.13% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 33.29% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 66.71% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 19.23% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 4.5 80.77% ▲ (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Exeter City 27.81%
Draw 41.8%
Leyton Orient 30.4%

Team To Score First

Exeter City 46.27%
No Goal 5.76% ▲ (+0.01)
Leyton Orient 47.97% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 60.34%
Equal 8 11.3%
Under 8 28.36%
Over 9 48.58%
Equal 9 11.76%
Under 9 39.66%
Over 10.5 37.38%
Under 10.5 62.62%

Exeter City Goals

Over 1.5 39.6%
Under 1.5 60.4%
Over 2.5 16.84% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 83.16% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 5.9%
Under 3.5 94.1%

Leyton Orient Goals

Over 0.5 72.8% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 0.5 27.2% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 1.5 41.15% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 1.5 58.85% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 2.5 17.75% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 82.25% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 6.29% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 93.71% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Exeter City 36.42%
Draw 25.23%
Leyton Orient 38.35%
Exeter City
2-1 @ 8.24%
1-0 @ 7.76% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.37% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.89% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.85%
3-0 @ 2.7%
Other @ 5.61%
Total : 36.42%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.51%
2-2 @ 6.17% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.76% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 25.23%
Leyton Orient
1-2 @ 8.67%
0-1 @ 8.01%
0-2 @ 5.71%
1-3 @ 4.02%
2-3 @ 2.98% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.96% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 6% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 38.35%

Head to Head

League One
Leyton Orient
Nov 15, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Exeter
League One Gameweek 29
Exeter
Jan 28, 2025 7.45pm
2
6
HT : 0 4
FT St James Park
Leyton Orient
  • Millenic Alli 47' goal
  • Millenic Alli 56' goal
  • goal Azeem Abdulai 5'
  • goal Azeem Abdulai 7'
  • goal Sean Clare 14'
  • yellowcard Ethan Galbraith 26'
  • goal Dilan Markanday 34'
  • yellowcard Omar Beckles 52'
  • yellowcard Josh Keeley 60'
  • goal Azeem Abdulai 64'
  • goal Jamie Donley 78'
  • yellowcard Brandon Cooper 90'+1'
League One Gameweek 9
Leyton Orient
Oct 1, 2024 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Brisbane Road
Exeter
  • Dominic Ball 53' yellowcard
  • Jordan Brown 77' yellowcard
  • goal Amani Richards 40'
  • yellowcard Ilmari Niskanen 44'
  • yellowcard Gary Caldwell 45'
  • yellowcard Jack McMillan 48'
  • yellowcard Pierce Sweeney 89'
  • redcard Caleb Watts 90'+3'
League One Gameweek 40
Leyton Orient
Apr 9, 2024 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Brisbane Road
Exeter
  • Oliver O'Neill 36' goal
  • George Moncur 64' goal
  • goal Millenic Alli 88'
  • goal Tom Carroll 90'+2'
League One Gameweek 7
Exeter
Sep 9, 2023 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT St James Park
Leyton Orient
  • Demetri Mitchell 48' goal
  • Pedro Borges 90' yellowcard
  • Mitch Beardmore 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Reece Cole 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Theo Archibald 45'+2'
  • goal Joe Pigott 55'
  • yellowcard Darren Pratley 59'
  • goal Ruel Sotiriou 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Ruel Sotiriou 90'+3'
League Two Gameweek 31
Exeter
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Leyton Orient
  • Timothee Dieng 54' yellowcard
  • Jevani Brown 81' yellowcard
  • Cheick Diabate 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Adam Thompson 24'
  • yellowcard Darren Pratley 75'
  • yellowcard Omar Beckles 90'+1'

Form Data

Wigan 2 - 0 Exeter
Luton 3 - 2 Exeter
Exeter 0 - 4 Cardiff
Exeter 0 - 1 Lincoln
Barnsley 2 - 1 Exeter
Exeter 1 - 1 Burton Albion
Leyton Orient 2 - 0 Wycombe
AFC Wimbledon 2 - 4 Leyton Orient
Leyton Orient 2 - 1 Peterborough
Stevenage 1 - 2 Leyton Orient
Bradford 2 - 1 Leyton Orient
Leyton Orient 1 - 3 Barnsley