League One Gameweek 38
Mar 17, 2026 7.45pm
2
4
HT : 2 1
FT Cherry Red Records Stadium
  • Robert Junior Nkeng 39' goal
  • Robert Junior Nkeng 45'+1' goal
  • Jake Reeves 74' yellowcard
  • Mathew Stevens 74' yellowcard
  • Antwoine Hackford 74' yellowcard
  • goal Dominic Ballard 15'
  • yellowcard Theodore Archibald 45'
  • yellowcard Daniel Happe 45'
  • yellowcard Daniel Happe 46'
  • yellowcard Theodore Archibald 46'
  • goal Dominic Ballard 48'
  • goal James Morris 57'
  • yellowcard Idris El Mizouni 68'
  • goal Dominic Ballard 70'
  • yellowcard Sonny Perkins 83'

AFC Wimbledon vs Leyton Orient - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
Last game
Mar 14, 2026 3.00pm
Stevenage 1 - 0 AFC Wimbledon
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Marcus Browne

Leyton Orient

All competitions
Last game
Mar 14, 2026 3.00pm
Leyton Orient 2 - 1 Peterborough
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Dominic Ballard

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 46.93%. A win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 27.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Leyton Orient win was 1-2 (6.83%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%).

Result

AFC Wimbledon 46.93% (-0.36)
Draw 25.25% (+0.13)
Leyton Orient 27.79% (+0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.24% (-0.26)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.88% (-0.14)
Under 1.5 22.12% (+0.14)
Over 2.5 55.16% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 44.84% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 33.01% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 66.99% (-0.06)
Over 4.5 19.48% (+0.13)
Under 4.5 80.52% (-0.14)

First Half Winner

AFC Wimbledon 35.28% (-0.34)
Draw 42.86% (-0.33)
Leyton Orient 21.85% (+0.66)

Team To Score First

AFC Wimbledon 57.07% (-0.08)
No Goal 6.08% (+0.17)
Leyton Orient 36.85% (-0.09)

Corners

Over 8 59.15% (+0.70)
Equal 8 11.62% (+0.02)
Under 8 29.24% (-0.71)
Over 9 47.17% (+0.61)
Equal 9 11.98% (+0.09)
Under 9 40.85% (-0.70)
Over 10.5 35.88% (+0.49)
Under 10.5 64.12% (-0.48)

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 1.5 47.46% (-0.16)
Under 1.5 52.54% (+0.16)
Over 2.5 22.36% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 77.64% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 8.63% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 91.37% (-0.04)

Leyton Orient Goals

Over 0.5 64.52% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 35.48% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 32.19% (+0.16)
Under 1.5 67.81% (-0.16)
Over 2.5 12.42% (+0.20)
Under 2.5 87.58% (-0.21)
Over 3.5 4.09% (+0.12)
Under 3.5 95.91% (-0.13)

Score analysis

AFC Wimbledon 46.93%
Draw 25.25%
Leyton Orient 27.8%
AFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 9.53% (-0.16)
2-1 @ 9.44% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 7.38% (-0.09)
3-1 @ 4.92% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 4.13% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 3.19% (-0.02)
Other @ 8.34% (-0.01)
Total : 46.93%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.48% (-0.09)
0-0 @ 6.08% (+0.17)
2-2 @ 5.91% (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.49% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.29% (+0.05)
Total : 25.25%
Leyton Orient
1-2 @ 6.83% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 6.49% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 3.84% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.72% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.37% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.75% (+0.04)
Other @ 3.8% (+0.07)
Total : 27.8%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 24
Jan 1, 2026 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT Brisbane Road
  • Dominic Ballard 6' goal
  • Demetri Mitchell 14' yellowcard
  • Alfie Lloyd 61' yellowcard
  • Charlie Wellens 61' yellowcard
  • Michael Craig 75' yellowcard
  • Josh Koroma 76' yellowcard
  • goal Demetri Mitchell 24' (OG)
  • goal Myles Hippolyte 69'
  • yellowcard Patrick Bauer 81'
  • yellowcard Mathew Stevens 81'
  • goal Marcus Browne 86'
League Two Gameweek 30
Feb 4, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Breyer Group Stadium
  • George Moncur 64' goal
League Two Gameweek 8
Nov 8, 2022 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT The Cherry Red Records Stadium
  • Ayoub Assal 19' goal
  • Harry Pell 36' goal
EFL Trophy
Oct 6, 2020 7.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Lee Angol 32' goal
  • Conor Wilkinson 75' goal
EFL Trophy Gameweek 5
Oct 8, 2019 7.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Joe Pigott 3' goal
  • Michael Folivi 49' goal
  • Callum Reilly 75' yellowcard
  • Callum Reilly 79' goal
  • yellowcard Shadrach Ogie 36'
  • yellowcard Dale Gorman 84'
League Two
Apr 23, 2016 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Lyle Taylor 17' goal