League One Gameweek 40
Apr 21, 2026 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT AESSEAL New York Stadium
  • Dru Yearwood 46' yellowcard
  • J. Holmes 62' yellowcard
  • Denzel Hall 62' yellowcard
  • goal Kasey Palmer 8'
  • goal Kasey Palmer 44'
  • yellowcard Gideon Kodua 61'
  • yellowcard J. Richards 61'
  • yellowcard Ali Al-Hamadi 73'
  • yellowcard Ali Al-Hamadi 74'
  • yellowcard George Alan Saville 74'
  • yellowcard Sverre Sandal 86'

Rotherham United vs Luton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Rotherham United

All competitions
Last game
Apr 18, 2026 3.00pm
Leyton Orient 0 - 2 Rotherham
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
S. Nombe

Luton Town

All competitions
Last game
Apr 18, 2026 3.00pm
Mansfield 2 - 2 Luton
Goals scored
63
Top scorer
Kasey Palmer

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 46.99%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 26.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-2 (8.78%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 1-0 (8.56%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result

Rotherham United 26.94% (-0.01)
Draw 26.07% (-0.08)
Luton Town 46.99% (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.95% (+0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.02% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 27.98% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 46.67% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 53.33% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 25.53% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 74.47% (-0.08)
Over 4.5 13.64% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 86.36% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Rotherham United 21.68% (-0.02)
Draw 42.48% (+0.02)
Luton Town 35.84% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Rotherham United 35.67% (+0.03)
No Goal 8.1% (-0.04)
Luton Town 56.23% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 57.73% (+0.08)
Equal 8 12.21% (-0.01)
Under 8 30.06% (-0.07)
Over 9 45.26% (+0.08)
Equal 9 12.47%
Under 9 42.27% (-0.08)
Over 10.5 33.68% (+0.07)
Under 10.5 66.32% (-0.07)

Rotherham United Goals

Over 1.5 26.52% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 73.48% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 8.73% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 91.27% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 2.24% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 97.76% (+0.02)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5 75.21% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 24.79% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 43.25% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 56.75% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 18.48%
Under 2.5 81.52%
Over 3.5 6.61%
Under 3.5 93.39%

Score analysis

Rotherham United 26.94%
Draw 26.06%
Luton Town 46.98%
Rotherham United
1-0 @ 8.56% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 6.16% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 4.45% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.37% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.74% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 1.53% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.13% (+0.01)
Total : 26.94%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.13% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 8.1% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 4.87%
Other @ 0.11% (-0.03)
Total : 26.06%
Luton Town
0-1 @ 11.3% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 9.38%
0-2 @ 8.78% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 4.65% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 4.06% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.31% (+0.03)
Other @ 6.5% (+0.02)
Total : 46.98%

Head to Head

League One
Nov 15, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Championship Gameweek 42
Apr 15, 2023 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT AESSEAL New York Stadium
  • goal Carlton Morris 45'
  • goal Cauley Woodrow 47'
Championship Gameweek 21
Nov 12, 2022 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Kenilworth Road Stadium
  • Luke Berry 90' goal
  • goal Jamie Lindsay 1'
Championship Gameweek 26
May 4, 2021 7.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Kenilworth Road Stadium
  • yellowcard Michael Smith 43'
Championship Gameweek 10
Nov 4, 2020 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT AESSEAL New York Stadium
  • Mickel Miller 77' yellowcard
  • goal James Collins 70'
  • yellowcard Luke Berry 90'+1'
League Two
Mar 31, 2009 3.00pm
2
4
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Chris Martin 16' yellowcard
  • Chris Martin 42' goal
  • Asa Hall 70' goal
  • goal Reuben Reid 11'
  • yellowcard Pablo Mills 16'
  • yellowcard Ian Sharps 20'
  • goal Drewe Broughton 38'
  • goal Danny Harrison 53'
  • yellowcard Drewe Broughton 62'