Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 46.99%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 26.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-2 (8.78%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 1-0 (8.56%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.