Apr 15, 2026 7.45pm

Kenilworth Road Stadium

Luton Town vs Northampton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Luton Town

All competitions

W
W
D
W
W
D

League One

W
W
D
W
W
D

Last game

Apr 6, 2026 3.00pm

AFC Wimbledon 0 - 3 Luton

Goals scored

55

Top scorer

Gideon Kadua

Northampton Town

All competitions

L
L
L
L
L
L

League One

L
L
L
L
L
L

Last game

Apr 6, 2026 3.00pm

Northampton 1 - 3 Wigan

Goals scored

34

Top scorer

Tom Eaves

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Luton Town win with a probability of 68.52%. A draw has a probability of 20.35% and a win for Northampton Town has a probability of 11.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (13.32%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.99%) , while for a Northampton Town win it is 0-1 (4.7%).

Result

Luton Town 68.52%

Draw 20.35%

Northampton Town 11.12%

Both Teams to Score:

42.27%

Goals

Over 1.5 72.69% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 1.5 27.31% ▼ (-0.02)

Over 2.5 48.82%

Under 2.5 51.18% ▲ (+0.04)

Over 3.5 27.99% ▼ (-0.04)

Under 3.5 72.01% ▲ (+0.04)

Over 4.5 18.24% ▼ (-0.04)

Under 4.5 81.76% ▲ (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Luton Town 50.98%

Draw 34.95%

Northampton Town 14.07%

Team To Score First

Luton Town 69.57%

No Goal 7.72%

Northampton Town 22.71%

Corners

Over 8 69.61%

Equal 8 9.88%

Under 8 20.51%

Over 9 58.52%

Equal 9 11.09%

Under 9 30.39%

Over 10.5 47.15%

Under 10.5 52.85%

Luton Town Goals

Over 1.5 58.02%

Under 1.5 41.98%

Over 2.5 31.55%

Under 2.5 68.45%

Over 3.5 14.14% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 3.5 85.86% ▲ (+0.02)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5 41.46%

Under 0.5 58.54%

Over 1.5 12.37% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 1.5 87.63% ▲ (+0.01)

Over 2.5 2.69% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 2.5 97.31% ▲ (+0.02)

Over 3.5 0.59% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 3.5 99.41% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

Luton Town 68.52%

Draw 20.36%

Northampton Town 11.12%

Luton Town

1-0 @ 14.89%

2-0 @ 13.32%

2-1 @ 9.37%

3-0 @ 8.54% ▲ (+0.02)

3-1 @ 6.03%

3-2 @ 2.3% ▼ (-0.02)

Other @ 14.07% ▼ (-0.01)

Total : 68.52%

Draw

1-1 @ 8.99% ▲ (+0.01)

0-0 @ 7.72%

2-2 @ 3.04%

Other @ 0.07%

Total : 20.36%

Northampton Town

0-1 @ 4.7%

1-2 @ 2.77%

0-2 @ 1.57% ▲ (+0.02)

Other @ 0.52% ▼ (-0.02)

Total : 11.12%

Head to Head

Mar 4, 2026 7.30pm

2

1

HT : 0 1

FT Kenilworth Road Stadium

Nahki Wells 53'
Shayden Morris 55'
Kasey Palmer 56'
Devante Cole 81'
Liam Walsh 82'
Nigel Cello Lonwijk 86'

Kyle McAdam 17'
Sam Hoskins 55'
Dean Campbell 55'
Cameron McGeehan 55'
Michael Forbes 69'
Jake Evans 69'

Oct 25, 2025 3.00pm

0

1

HT : 0 0

FT

Jul 16, 2022 1.00pm

1

2

HT : 1 0

FT

Mitchell Pinnock 7'

Elijah Adebayo 54'
Dan Potts 56'

Apr 30, 2016 3.00pm

2

0

HT : 2 0

FT

Zander Diamond 4'
Josh Lelan 17'
John Marquis 36'

Cameron McGeehan 73'

Dec 12, 2015 3.00pm

3

4

HT : 1 3

FT

Paul Benson 9'
Paul Benson 52'
Danny Green 66'
Magnus Okuonghae 69'
Danny Green 88'
Scott Griffiths 91'

John-Joe O'Toole 18'
Lawson D'Ath 30'
Marc Richards 42'
Ricky Holmes 69'

Mar 28, 2015 3.00pm

2

1

HT : 0 0

FT

Brendan Moloney 41'
Ricky Holmes 64'
James Gray 86'

Lewis Kinsella 11'
Alex Lawless 46'
Paul Benson 52'
Michael Harriman 63'
Nathan Doyle 89'

Form Data

AFC Wimbledon 0 - 3 Luton

Luton 2 - 1 Peterborough

Luton 1 - 1 Stockport

Luton 3 - 2 Exeter

Wycombe 1 - 2 Luton

Doncaster 1 - 1 Luton

Northampton 1 - 3 Wigan

Bradford 1 - 0 Northampton

Mansfield 4 - 1 Northampton

Stockport 2 - 1 Northampton

Northampton 0 - 2 Burton Albion

AFC Wimbledon 1 - 0 Northampton